Skip to main content
icon for New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner

Greg Hull 62%

Duke Rodriguez 21%

John Sanchez 1.9%

Brian Cillessen 1.6%

Polymarket

$821,247 Vol.

Greg Hull 62%

Duke Rodriguez 21%

John Sanchez 1.9%

Brian Cillessen 1.6%

Polymarket

$821,247 Vol.

Greg Hull

$128,440 Vol.

62%

Duke Rodriguez

$13,927 Vol.

21%

John Sanchez

$2,884 Vol.

2%

Brian Cillessen

$3,363 Vol.

2%

Belinda Robertson

$5,095 Vol.

1%

Doug Turner

$1,067 Vol.

1%

Steve Lanier

$648,007 Vol.

1%

Mark Murphy

$2,914 Vol.

1%

Susana Martinez

$9,336 Vol.

1%

Judith Nakamura

$6,214 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Gregg Hull leads Polymarket trader consensus at 62% implied probability to win New Mexico's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 2, reflecting his edge in the sole recent Emerson College poll (21% to Duke Rodriguez's 10% amid 61% undecideds) and dominant March pre-primary convention performance, where he captured nearly 57% of delegate votes to qualify for the ballot. Recent forums and a KOAT debate in late April highlighted shared GOP critiques of state issues like crime and healthcare, boosting Hull's visibility as Rio Rancho mayor with executive experience, while Rodriguez's business background and lawsuit challenging Democratic child care rules position him second at 21%. High undecideds and fragmented field leave room for shifts before early voting begins May 5.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$821,247
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Gregg Hull leads Polymarket trader consensus at 62% implied probability to win New Mexico's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 2, reflecting his edge in the sole recent Emerson College poll (21% to Duke Rodriguez's 10% amid 61% undecideds) and dominant March pre-primary convention performance, where he captured nearly 57% of delegate votes to qualify for the ballot. Recent forums and a KOAT debate in late April highlighted shared GOP critiques of state issues like crime and healthcare, boosting Hull's visibility as Rio Rancho mayor with executive experience, while Rodriguez's business background and lawsuit challenging Democratic child care rules position him second at 21%. High undecideds and fragmented field leave room for shifts before early voting begins May 5.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$821,247
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Greg Hull" at 62%, followed by "Duke Rodriguez" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $821.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Greg Hull" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Duke Rodriguez" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.