Elon Musk’s consistent high-volume engagement on X continues to anchor trader sentiment for this three-day window, with his typical daily output of 20–30 posts fueling the dominant 72.5% implied probability for the 40-64 range. Recent patterns show steady activity driven by business updates, real-time commentary on industry developments, and responses to cultural or political moments, without major spikes or extended quiet periods that would push totals higher or lower. Weekend timing often moderates velocity slightly compared to peak weekdays, yet historical averages still align closely with the current frontrunner. Upcoming chart updates and any breaking news cycles could introduce late momentum shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 73%
65-89 25%
<40 2.4%
90-114 1.8%
$684,498 Vol.
$684,498 Vol.
May 18, 2026
<40
2%
40-64
73%
65-89
25%
90-114
2%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 73%
65-89 25%
<40 2.4%
90-114 1.8%
$684,498 Vol.
$684,498 Vol.
May 18, 2026
<40
$214,431 Vol.
2%
40-64
$62,400 Vol.
73%
65-89
$67,717 Vol.
25%
90-114
$88,393 Vol.
2%
115-139
$67,417 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$61,110 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$53,265 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$37,343 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$15,853 Vol.
<1%
240+
$18,696 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s consistent high-volume engagement on X continues to anchor trader sentiment for this three-day window, with his typical daily output of 20–30 posts fueling the dominant 72.5% implied probability for the 40-64 range. Recent patterns show steady activity driven by business updates, real-time commentary on industry developments, and responses to cultural or political moments, without major spikes or extended quiet periods that would push totals higher or lower. Weekend timing often moderates velocity slightly compared to peak weekdays, yet historical averages still align closely with the current frontrunner. Upcoming chart updates and any breaking news cycles could introduce late momentum shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$684,498End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s consistent high-volume engagement on X continues to anchor trader sentiment for this three-day window, with his typical daily output of 20–30 posts fueling the dominant 72.5% implied probability for the 40-64 range. Recent patterns show steady activity driven by business updates, real-time commentary on industry developments, and responses to cultural or political moments, without major spikes or extended quiet periods that would push totals higher or lower. Weekend timing often moderates velocity slightly compared to peak weekdays, yet historical averages still align closely with the current frontrunner. Upcoming chart updates and any breaking news cycles could introduce late momentum shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$684,498End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s consistent high-volume engagement on X continues to anchor trader sentiment for this three-day window, with his typical daily output of 20–30 posts fueling the dominant 72.5% implied probability for the 40-64 range. Recent patterns show steady activity driven by business updates, real-time commentary on industry developments, and responses to cultural or political moments, without major spikes or extended quiet periods that would push totals higher or lower. Weekend timing often moderates velocity slightly compared to peak weekdays, yet historical averages still align closely with the current frontrunner. Upcoming chart updates and any breaking news cycles could introduce late momentum shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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