Current forecasts from NOAA and private models indicate a typical mid-June subtropical pattern over Miami, with high humidity, light southerly winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms likely keeping overnight radiative cooling limited. This setup favors a low temperature in the 78-79°F range, aligning with the 52% market-implied probability and recent observations of 79-81°F lows. Historical June normals at Miami International Airport center near 77°F, but persistent moisture and cloud cover from the Bermuda High ridge have elevated recent readings above baseline. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability ahead of June 15, though any increase in thunderstorm coverage or wind shift could nudge the minimum slightly lower into the 76-77°F bin (23% odds). Updated National Weather Service guidance and evening model runs on June 14 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 15 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 15 de junio?
78-79°F 54%
80-81°F 23%
76-77°F 17%
74-75°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
67°F o menos
1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
52%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F o más
<1%
78-79°F 54%
80-81°F 23%
76-77°F 17%
74-75°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
67°F o menos
$521 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$307 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$133 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$444 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$40 Vol.
9%
76-77°F
$42 Vol.
23%
78-79°F
$76 Vol.
52%
80-81°F
$80 Vol.
25%
82-83°F
$18 Vol.
5%
84-85°F
$135 Vol.
<1%
86°F o más
$840 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NOAA and private models indicate a typical mid-June subtropical pattern over Miami, with high humidity, light southerly winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms likely keeping overnight radiative cooling limited. This setup favors a low temperature in the 78-79°F range, aligning with the 52% market-implied probability and recent observations of 79-81°F lows. Historical June normals at Miami International Airport center near 77°F, but persistent moisture and cloud cover from the Bermuda High ridge have elevated recent readings above baseline. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability ahead of June 15, though any increase in thunderstorm coverage or wind shift could nudge the minimum slightly lower into the 76-77°F bin (23% odds). Updated National Weather Service guidance and evening model runs on June 14 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Volumen
$2,154Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NOAA and private models indicate a typical mid-June subtropical pattern over Miami, with high humidity, light southerly winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms likely keeping overnight radiative cooling limited. This setup favors a low temperature in the 78-79°F range, aligning with the 52% market-implied probability and recent observations of 79-81°F lows. Historical June normals at Miami International Airport center near 77°F, but persistent moisture and cloud cover from the Bermuda High ridge have elevated recent readings above baseline. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability ahead of June 15, though any increase in thunderstorm coverage or wind shift could nudge the minimum slightly lower into the 76-77°F bin (23% odds). Updated National Weather Service guidance and evening model runs on June 14 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,154Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from NOAA and private models indicate a typical mid-June subtropical pattern over Miami, with high humidity, light southerly winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms likely keeping overnight radiative cooling limited. This setup favors a low temperature in the 78-79°F range, aligning with the 52% market-implied probability and recent observations of 79-81°F lows. Historical June normals at Miami International Airport center near 77°F, but persistent moisture and cloud cover from the Bermuda High ridge have elevated recent readings above baseline. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability ahead of June 15, though any increase in thunderstorm coverage or wind shift could nudge the minimum slightly lower into the 76-77°F bin (23% odds). Updated National Weather Service guidance and evening model runs on June 14 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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