Recent Met Office forecasts for London on June 16 project a daytime high near 26°C under mostly dry, partly cloudy conditions with light winds, supporting an overnight minimum around 16°C via moderate radiative cooling. Trader consensus, however, centers on 15°C (51.5% implied probability) and 14°C (29.5%), reflecting ensemble model spreads that allow for slightly stronger nocturnal cooling if clearer skies or lighter winds develop than currently indicated. Historical June climatology shows typical London minima near 12–14°C, but the current stable high-pressure influence and above-average warmth keep probabilities skewed toward 14–16°C rather than lower outliers. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will likely refine these odds as the 24-hour forecast window tightens.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on June 16?
Lowest temperature in London on June 16?
15°C 60%
14°C 29%
16°C 16%
13°C 5.7%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
6%
14°C
29%
15°C
60%
16°C
16%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
15°C 60%
14°C 29%
16°C 16%
13°C 5.7%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
11°C or below
$33 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$28 Vol.
2%
13°C
$174 Vol.
6%
14°C
$68 Vol.
29%
15°C
$84 Vol.
60%
16°C
$151 Vol.
16%
17°C
$139 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$33 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$33 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$240 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London on June 16 project a daytime high near 26°C under mostly dry, partly cloudy conditions with light winds, supporting an overnight minimum around 16°C via moderate radiative cooling. Trader consensus, however, centers on 15°C (51.5% implied probability) and 14°C (29.5%), reflecting ensemble model spreads that allow for slightly stronger nocturnal cooling if clearer skies or lighter winds develop than currently indicated. Historical June climatology shows typical London minima near 12–14°C, but the current stable high-pressure influence and above-average warmth keep probabilities skewed toward 14–16°C rather than lower outliers. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will likely refine these odds as the 24-hour forecast window tightens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,103End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London on June 16 project a daytime high near 26°C under mostly dry, partly cloudy conditions with light winds, supporting an overnight minimum around 16°C via moderate radiative cooling. Trader consensus, however, centers on 15°C (51.5% implied probability) and 14°C (29.5%), reflecting ensemble model spreads that allow for slightly stronger nocturnal cooling if clearer skies or lighter winds develop than currently indicated. Historical June climatology shows typical London minima near 12–14°C, but the current stable high-pressure influence and above-average warmth keep probabilities skewed toward 14–16°C rather than lower outliers. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will likely refine these odds as the 24-hour forecast window tightens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,103End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts for London on June 16 project a daytime high near 26°C under mostly dry, partly cloudy conditions with light winds, supporting an overnight minimum around 16°C via moderate radiative cooling. Trader consensus, however, centers on 15°C (51.5% implied probability) and 14°C (29.5%), reflecting ensemble model spreads that allow for slightly stronger nocturnal cooling if clearer skies or lighter winds develop than currently indicated. Historical June climatology shows typical London minima near 12–14°C, but the current stable high-pressure influence and above-average warmth keep probabilities skewed toward 14–16°C rather than lower outliers. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will likely refine these odds as the 24-hour forecast window tightens.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions