Kim Jong Un remains firmly entrenched as North Korea’s Supreme Leader through mid-2026, directing major initiatives such as the ongoing “Health Revolution” hospital construction program, a February party congress on nuclear and military modernization, and strengthened ties with Russia and China. These activities, alongside his public appearances and designation of his daughter as potential successor, underscore regime continuity and the absence of credible internal challenges or health crises that could prompt removal. Trader consensus at 96 percent against an exit by year-end aligns with this record of consolidated authority and the structural barriers to rapid leadership change in the hereditary system. Even so, unforeseen events like a sudden medical emergency or elite-level power struggle could still alter the timeline within the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
$105,921 Vol.
$105,921 Vol.
$105,921 Vol.
$105,921 Vol.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 1:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Kim Jong Un remains firmly entrenched as North Korea’s Supreme Leader through mid-2026, directing major initiatives such as the ongoing “Health Revolution” hospital construction program, a February party congress on nuclear and military modernization, and strengthened ties with Russia and China. These activities, alongside his public appearances and designation of his daughter as potential successor, underscore regime continuity and the absence of credible internal challenges or health crises that could prompt removal. Trader consensus at 96 percent against an exit by year-end aligns with this record of consolidated authority and the structural barriers to rapid leadership change in the hereditary system. Even so, unforeseen events like a sudden medical emergency or elite-level power struggle could still alter the timeline within the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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