Stalled US-Iran nuclear negotiations, centered on uranium enrichment suspension terms, drive the 72.5% "No" trader consensus that Tehran will not agree to end enrichment by June 30. Iran's recent proposal via Pakistan offers a five-year pause and postpones broader nuclear talks to prioritize reopening the Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing blockade tensions, while the US insists on a 20-year minimum or full cessation alongside curbs on proxies. Tehran skipped prior talks, per reports, and IAEA's February update highlighted denied access to enrichment sites and a 440kg near-weapons-grade stockpile. President Trump's disclosure of Putin mediation adds diplomatic uncertainty, echoing JCPOA revival failures, with no breakthroughs in sight before the deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
$687,063 Vol.
$687,063 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$687,063 Vol.
$687,063 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Stalled US-Iran nuclear negotiations, centered on uranium enrichment suspension terms, drive the 72.5% "No" trader consensus that Tehran will not agree to end enrichment by June 30. Iran's recent proposal via Pakistan offers a five-year pause and postpones broader nuclear talks to prioritize reopening the Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing blockade tensions, while the US insists on a 20-year minimum or full cessation alongside curbs on proxies. Tehran skipped prior talks, per reports, and IAEA's February update highlighted denied access to enrichment sites and a 440kg near-weapons-grade stockpile. President Trump's disclosure of Putin mediation adds diplomatic uncertainty, echoing JCPOA revival failures, with no breakthroughs in sight before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Volume
$687,063End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Stalled US-Iran nuclear negotiations, centered on uranium enrichment suspension terms, drive the 72.5% "No" trader consensus that Tehran will not agree to end enrichment by June 30. Iran's recent proposal via Pakistan offers a five-year pause and postpones broader nuclear talks to prioritize reopening the Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing blockade tensions, while the US insists on a 20-year minimum or full cessation alongside curbs on proxies. Tehran skipped prior talks, per reports, and IAEA's February update highlighted denied access to enrichment sites and a 440kg near-weapons-grade stockpile. President Trump's disclosure of Putin mediation adds diplomatic uncertainty, echoing JCPOA revival failures, with no breakthroughs in sight before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$688,380End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Stalled US-Iran nuclear negotiations, centered on uranium enrichment suspension terms, drive the 72.5% "No" trader consensus that Tehran will not agree to end enrichment by June 30. Iran's recent proposal via Pakistan offers a five-year pause and postpones broader nuclear talks to prioritize reopening the Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing blockade tensions, while the US insists on a 20-year minimum or full cessation alongside curbs on proxies. Tehran skipped prior talks, per reports, and IAEA's February update highlighted denied access to enrichment sites and a 440kg near-weapons-grade stockpile. President Trump's disclosure of Putin mediation adds diplomatic uncertainty, echoing JCPOA revival failures, with no breakthroughs in sight before the deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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