Recent US-Iran nuclear talks, mediated by Oman, have produced ceasefire extensions and frameworks for further discussions on Iran's stockpile but no public commitment to end all uranium enrichment. Iranian officials, including from the Atomic Energy Organization, have repeatedly rejected limits on enrichment activities, describing them as non-negotiable for a civilian program. Core disputes persist over verification, existing 60% enriched material, and Iran's refusal to dismantle facilities or accept zero-enrichment terms demanded in prior rounds. With the June 30 deadline approaching amid stalled progress on these issues, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of an agreement materializing in the remaining window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
$2,895,366 Vol.
$2,895,366 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$2,895,366 Vol.
$2,895,366 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent US-Iran nuclear talks, mediated by Oman, have produced ceasefire extensions and frameworks for further discussions on Iran's stockpile but no public commitment to end all uranium enrichment. Iranian officials, including from the Atomic Energy Organization, have repeatedly rejected limits on enrichment activities, describing them as non-negotiable for a civilian program. Core disputes persist over verification, existing 60% enriched material, and Iran's refusal to dismantle facilities or accept zero-enrichment terms demanded in prior rounds. With the June 30 deadline approaching amid stalled progress on these issues, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of an agreement materializing in the remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Volume
$2,895,366End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent US-Iran nuclear talks, mediated by Oman, have produced ceasefire extensions and frameworks for further discussions on Iran's stockpile but no public commitment to end all uranium enrichment. Iranian officials, including from the Atomic Energy Organization, have repeatedly rejected limits on enrichment activities, describing them as non-negotiable for a civilian program. Core disputes persist over verification, existing 60% enriched material, and Iran's refusal to dismantle facilities or accept zero-enrichment terms demanded in prior rounds. With the June 30 deadline approaching amid stalled progress on these issues, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of an agreement materializing in the remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,899,370End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-Iran nuclear talks, mediated by Oman, have produced ceasefire extensions and frameworks for further discussions on Iran's stockpile but no public commitment to end all uranium enrichment. Iranian officials, including from the Atomic Energy Organization, have repeatedly rejected limits on enrichment activities, describing them as non-negotiable for a civilian program. Core disputes persist over verification, existing 60% enriched material, and Iran's refusal to dismantle facilities or accept zero-enrichment terms demanded in prior rounds. With the June 30 deadline approaching amid stalled progress on these issues, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of an agreement materializing in the remaining window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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