Trader consensus favors Josh Turek at 64% implied probability to win the Iowa Democratic U.S. Senate primary on June 2, driven by a VoteVets-commissioned FM3 Research poll from April 21-23 showing him leading state Sen. Zach Wahls 48%-28%—a 20-point surge from March, following $5.5 million in pro-Turek ads over five weeks. Earlier polls, including a February NRSC survey and March internals, had Wahls ahead, amid Republican efforts to elevate him as a weaker general election matchup against Rep. Ashley Hinson. With the primary a month away, undecided voters and final fundraising could shift dynamics, though minor candidates Chris Henry and Nathan Sage trail far behind.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJosh Turek 65%
Zach Wahls 36%
Chris Henry <1%
Nathan Sage <1%
$20,245 Vol.
$20,245 Vol.
Josh Turek
65%
Zach Wahls
36%
Chris Henry
<1%
Nathan Sage
<1%
Josh Turek 65%
Zach Wahls 36%
Chris Henry <1%
Nathan Sage <1%
$20,245 Vol.
$20,245 Vol.
Josh Turek
65%
Zach Wahls
36%
Chris Henry
<1%
Nathan Sage
<1%
If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Josh Turek at 64% implied probability to win the Iowa Democratic U.S. Senate primary on June 2, driven by a VoteVets-commissioned FM3 Research poll from April 21-23 showing him leading state Sen. Zach Wahls 48%-28%—a 20-point surge from March, following $5.5 million in pro-Turek ads over five weeks. Earlier polls, including a February NRSC survey and March internals, had Wahls ahead, amid Republican efforts to elevate him as a weaker general election matchup against Rep. Ashley Hinson. With the primary a month away, undecided voters and final fundraising could shift dynamics, though minor candidates Chris Henry and Nathan Sage trail far behind.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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