Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw on June 16 most likely between 18–20 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds. Mild early-summer conditions prevail across central Poland, with moderate westerly flow, variable cloud cover, and possible light showers limiting daytime heating below seasonal peaks near 22 °C. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on the timing and extent of cloud breaks versus lingering stratiform layers, which numerical guidance resolves only modestly ahead of the event. Updated model runs and official guidance from the Polish Institute of Meteorology expected over the next 48 hours will further refine these ranges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 16?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 16?
19°C 40%
20°C 34%
18°C 15%
21°C 7.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
15°C o menos
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
15%
19°C
40%
20°C
34%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 40%
20°C 34%
18°C 15%
21°C 7.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
15°C o menos
$18 Vol.
1%
16°C
$79 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$39 Vol.
3%
18°C
$174 Vol.
15%
19°C
$138 Vol.
40%
20°C
$198 Vol.
34%
21°C
$62 Vol.
7%
22°C
$15 Vol.
2%
23°C
$254 Vol.
1%
24°C
$406 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$165 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw on June 16 most likely between 18–20 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds. Mild early-summer conditions prevail across central Poland, with moderate westerly flow, variable cloud cover, and possible light showers limiting daytime heating below seasonal peaks near 22 °C. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on the timing and extent of cloud breaks versus lingering stratiform layers, which numerical guidance resolves only modestly ahead of the event. Updated model runs and official guidance from the Polish Institute of Meteorology expected over the next 48 hours will further refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$1,410Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw on June 16 most likely between 18–20 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds. Mild early-summer conditions prevail across central Poland, with moderate westerly flow, variable cloud cover, and possible light showers limiting daytime heating below seasonal peaks near 22 °C. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on the timing and extent of cloud breaks versus lingering stratiform layers, which numerical guidance resolves only modestly ahead of the event. Updated model runs and official guidance from the Polish Institute of Meteorology expected over the next 48 hours will further refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,410Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw on June 16 most likely between 18–20 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds. Mild early-summer conditions prevail across central Poland, with moderate westerly flow, variable cloud cover, and possible light showers limiting daytime heating below seasonal peaks near 22 °C. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on the timing and extent of cloud breaks versus lingering stratiform layers, which numerical guidance resolves only modestly ahead of the event. Updated model runs and official guidance from the Polish Institute of Meteorology expected over the next 48 hours will further refine these ranges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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