**Latest official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and international models indicate a highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 15, 2026, most likely in the 28–29°C range, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes (combined ~88% implied probability).** Partly cloudy conditions with no significant temperature change are expected, following typical early-summer patterns of moderate highs moderated by coastal sea breezes and light winds. Hourly IMS guidance peaks near 27°C, while broader ensemble forecasts cluster around 27.8–28.9°C (82–84°F), consistent with long-term June averages of ~28–30°C but tempered by minor morning drizzle potential along the coast. Traders appear to assign the edge to 29°C due to residual model spread and the possibility of brief afternoon warming under partly cloudy skies, while 28°C remains a close second. Higher outcomes (30°C+) carry low probability given the stable high-pressure regime and lack of heatwave signals, and cooler readings are discounted absent unexpected cloud cover or stronger onshore flow. Resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded at the primary Tel Aviv station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 15?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 15?
29°C 50%
28°C 38%
30°C 6.3%
27°C 5.5%
NUEVO
$10,051 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,051 Vol.
15 jun 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
6%
28°C
38%
29°C
50%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 50%
28°C 38%
30°C 6.3%
27°C 5.5%
NUEVO
$10,051 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,051 Vol.
15 jun 2026
25°C or below
$695 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$906 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$601 Vol.
6%
28°C
$1,215 Vol.
38%
29°C
$1,399 Vol.
50%
30°C
$1,869 Vol.
6%
31°C
$843 Vol.
1%
32°C
$331 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,034 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$755 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$680 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and international models indicate a highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 15, 2026, most likely in the 28–29°C range, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes (combined ~88% implied probability).**
Partly cloudy conditions with no significant temperature change are expected, following typical early-summer patterns of moderate highs moderated by coastal sea breezes and light winds. Hourly IMS guidance peaks near 27°C, while broader ensemble forecasts cluster around 27.8–28.9°C (82–84°F), consistent with long-term June averages of ~28–30°C but tempered by minor morning drizzle potential along the coast.
Traders appear to assign the edge to 29°C due to residual model spread and the possibility of brief afternoon warming under partly cloudy skies, while 28°C remains a close second. Higher outcomes (30°C+) carry low probability given the stable high-pressure regime and lack of heatwave signals, and cooler readings are discounted absent unexpected cloud cover or stronger onshore flow. Resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded at the primary Tel Aviv station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$10,051Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and international models indicate a highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 15, 2026, most likely in the 28–29°C range, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes (combined ~88% implied probability).**
Partly cloudy conditions with no significant temperature change are expected, following typical early-summer patterns of moderate highs moderated by coastal sea breezes and light winds. Hourly IMS guidance peaks near 27°C, while broader ensemble forecasts cluster around 27.8–28.9°C (82–84°F), consistent with long-term June averages of ~28–30°C but tempered by minor morning drizzle potential along the coast.
Traders appear to assign the edge to 29°C due to residual model spread and the possibility of brief afternoon warming under partly cloudy skies, while 28°C remains a close second. Higher outcomes (30°C+) carry low probability given the stable high-pressure regime and lack of heatwave signals, and cooler readings are discounted absent unexpected cloud cover or stronger onshore flow. Resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded at the primary Tel Aviv station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,051Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and international models indicate a highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 15, 2026, most likely in the 28–29°C range, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes (combined ~88% implied probability).** Partly cloudy conditions with no significant temperature change are expected, following typical early-summer patterns of moderate highs moderated by coastal sea breezes and light winds. Hourly IMS guidance peaks near 27°C, while broader ensemble forecasts cluster around 27.8–28.9°C (82–84°F), consistent with long-term June averages of ~28–30°C but tempered by minor morning drizzle potential along the coast. Traders appear to assign the edge to 29°C due to residual model spread and the possibility of brief afternoon warming under partly cloudy skies, while 28°C remains a close second. Higher outcomes (30°C+) carry low probability given the stable high-pressure regime and lack of heatwave signals, and cooler readings are discounted absent unexpected cloud cover or stronger onshore flow. Resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded at the primary Tel Aviv station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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