Current forecast models from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service converge on a daily maximum of 28–29°C for Tel Aviv on June 15, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with moderate westerly flow and the moderating influence of the Mediterranean sea breeze. This typical early-summer pattern keeps coastal highs near the June average of 29–30°C, limiting upside risk unless an unexpected easterly shift develops. Ensemble guidance shows narrow spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C (37.5%) and 29°C (50.5%) while assigning only marginal probability to 30°C or higher. Updated morning model runs and any shifts in wind direction or cloud cover will be the key near-term drivers of further repricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 15?
29°C 51%
28°C 38%
30°C 7.1%
27°C 5.5%
$11,068 Vol.
$11,068 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
38%
29°C
51%
30°C
7%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 51%
28°C 38%
30°C 7.1%
27°C 5.5%
$11,068 Vol.
$11,068 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
38%
29°C
51%
30°C
7%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service converge on a daily maximum of 28–29°C for Tel Aviv on June 15, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with moderate westerly flow and the moderating influence of the Mediterranean sea breeze. This typical early-summer pattern keeps coastal highs near the June average of 29–30°C, limiting upside risk unless an unexpected easterly shift develops. Ensemble guidance shows narrow spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C (37.5%) and 29°C (50.5%) while assigning only marginal probability to 30°C or higher. Updated morning model runs and any shifts in wind direction or cloud cover will be the key near-term drivers of further repricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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