Current forecasts from models including those referenced by the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature near 28–30°C in Shenzhen on June 15, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon likely limiting peak heating. This setup keeps the market-implied odds tightly split between 29°C and 30°C, as even modest shifts in convective timing or afternoon clearing can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 31°C provide context, but recent model runs show suppressed insolation and sea-breeze effects pulling values lower. Updated guidance from official agencies and ensemble spreads expected over the next 24 hours will clarify whether marginal warming allows 30°C or keeps the peak at 29°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
29°C 40%
30°C 32%
28°C 15%
31°C 11.0%
NUEVO
$17,815 Vol.
NUEVO
$17,815 Vol.
15 jun 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
15%
29°C
40%
30°C
32%
31°C
11%
32°C or higher
2%
29°C 40%
30°C 32%
28°C 15%
31°C 11.0%
NUEVO
$17,815 Vol.
NUEVO
$17,815 Vol.
15 jun 2026
22°C or below
$372 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$735 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,251 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,524 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,905 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,635 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$925 Vol.
15%
29°C
$713 Vol.
40%
30°C
$1,015 Vol.
32%
31°C
$1,706 Vol.
11%
32°C or higher
$1,190 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models including those referenced by the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature near 28–30°C in Shenzhen on June 15, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon likely limiting peak heating. This setup keeps the market-implied odds tightly split between 29°C and 30°C, as even modest shifts in convective timing or afternoon clearing can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 31°C provide context, but recent model runs show suppressed insolation and sea-breeze effects pulling values lower. Updated guidance from official agencies and ensemble spreads expected over the next 24 hours will clarify whether marginal warming allows 30°C or keeps the peak at 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$17,815Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models including those referenced by the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature near 28–30°C in Shenzhen on June 15, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon likely limiting peak heating. This setup keeps the market-implied odds tightly split between 29°C and 30°C, as even modest shifts in convective timing or afternoon clearing can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 31°C provide context, but recent model runs show suppressed insolation and sea-breeze effects pulling values lower. Updated guidance from official agencies and ensemble spreads expected over the next 24 hours will clarify whether marginal warming allows 30°C or keeps the peak at 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$17,815Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models including those referenced by the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature near 28–30°C in Shenzhen on June 15, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon likely limiting peak heating. This setup keeps the market-implied odds tightly split between 29°C and 30°C, as even modest shifts in convective timing or afternoon clearing can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 31°C provide context, but recent model runs show suppressed insolation and sea-breeze effects pulling values lower. Updated guidance from official agencies and ensemble spreads expected over the next 24 hours will clarify whether marginal warming allows 30°C or keeps the peak at 29°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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