Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC point to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Shenzhen on June 16, 2026, as the consensus outcome driving the near-even market odds between those two bins. Persistent cloud cover and thundery showers associated with early monsoon flow are expected to limit solar heating and cap afternoon peaks, while typical June humidity levels near 80% and light southerly winds further moderate surface temperatures. Historical climatology shows mid-June highs averaging 29–31°C, but current guidance shows slightly cooler conditions than the seasonal norm. Updated runs from global models over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak, with any clearing trend potentially shifting odds toward 30°C or higher.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 16?
28°C 32%
29°C 30%
30°C 17%
27°C 12%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
12%
28°C
32%
29°C
30%
30°C
17%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 32%
29°C 30%
30°C 17%
27°C 12%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
12%
28°C
32%
29°C
30%
30°C
17%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC point to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Shenzhen on June 16, 2026, as the consensus outcome driving the near-even market odds between those two bins. Persistent cloud cover and thundery showers associated with early monsoon flow are expected to limit solar heating and cap afternoon peaks, while typical June humidity levels near 80% and light southerly winds further moderate surface temperatures. Historical climatology shows mid-June highs averaging 29–31°C, but current guidance shows slightly cooler conditions than the seasonal norm. Updated runs from global models over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak, with any clearing trend potentially shifting odds toward 30°C or higher.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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