Current forecast models indicate a narrow range of possible daily maximum temperatures in Shanghai for June 16, centered on 26–27°C, due to persistent Meiyu-season moisture, variable cloud cover, and the timing of any thundery showers. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlights subtropical monsoon influences that limit diurnal heating while humidity and precipitation suppress peaks, consistent with mid-June climatology of 24–28°C highs. Minor model disagreements on exact clearing or convective timing create the close market split, with lower probabilities assigned to 25°C or 28°C+ outcomes reflecting historical variability and ensemble spread. Updated short-range model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final observed maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?
27°C 32%
26°C 30%
25°C 19%
24°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
19%
26°C
30%
27°C
32%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 32%
26°C 30%
25°C 19%
24°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
20°C or below
$254 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$320 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$731 Vol.
2%
24°C
$394 Vol.
9%
25°C
$532 Vol.
19%
26°C
$429 Vol.
30%
27°C
$538 Vol.
32%
28°C
$1,652 Vol.
6%
29°C
$875 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$789 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a narrow range of possible daily maximum temperatures in Shanghai for June 16, centered on 26–27°C, due to persistent Meiyu-season moisture, variable cloud cover, and the timing of any thundery showers. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlights subtropical monsoon influences that limit diurnal heating while humidity and precipitation suppress peaks, consistent with mid-June climatology of 24–28°C highs. Minor model disagreements on exact clearing or convective timing create the close market split, with lower probabilities assigned to 25°C or 28°C+ outcomes reflecting historical variability and ensemble spread. Updated short-range model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final observed maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$6,632End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a narrow range of possible daily maximum temperatures in Shanghai for June 16, centered on 26–27°C, due to persistent Meiyu-season moisture, variable cloud cover, and the timing of any thundery showers. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlights subtropical monsoon influences that limit diurnal heating while humidity and precipitation suppress peaks, consistent with mid-June climatology of 24–28°C highs. Minor model disagreements on exact clearing or convective timing create the close market split, with lower probabilities assigned to 25°C or 28°C+ outcomes reflecting historical variability and ensemble spread. Updated short-range model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final observed maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,632End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate a narrow range of possible daily maximum temperatures in Shanghai for June 16, centered on 26–27°C, due to persistent Meiyu-season moisture, variable cloud cover, and the timing of any thundery showers. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlights subtropical monsoon influences that limit diurnal heating while humidity and precipitation suppress peaks, consistent with mid-June climatology of 24–28°C highs. Minor model disagreements on exact clearing or convective timing create the close market split, with lower probabilities assigned to 25°C or 28°C+ outcomes reflecting historical variability and ensemble spread. Updated short-range model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final observed maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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