Recent meteorological forecasts for Madrid on June 15, 2026, converge on daily maximum temperatures of 31–33°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system, light westerly winds, and minimal convective activity limiting cloud build-up or precipitation impacts. Official guidance from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather projects a high near 31°C with possible isolated showers, while broader model runs support slight warming potential into the low 30s amid typical early-summer insolation. These conditions align with historical June climatology for central Spain, where highs often reach the low-to-mid 30s, positioning 32°C as the market's leading outcome at 46.5% implied probability. Updated model runs and any late-day observations tomorrow will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
32°C 45%
31°C 32%
33°C 20.7%
34°C 3.3%
NUEVO
$23,024 Vol.
NUEVO
$23,024 Vol.
15 jun 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
32%
32°C
45%
33°C
21%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 45%
31°C 32%
33°C 20.7%
34°C 3.3%
NUEVO
$23,024 Vol.
NUEVO
$23,024 Vol.
15 jun 2026
27°C or below
$460 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,627 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,540 Vol.
1%
30°C
$2,946 Vol.
3%
31°C
$1,794 Vol.
32%
32°C
$2,565 Vol.
45%
33°C
$3,030 Vol.
21%
34°C
$4,839 Vol.
3%
35°C
$2,341 Vol.
1%
36°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$706 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Madrid on June 15, 2026, converge on daily maximum temperatures of 31–33°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system, light westerly winds, and minimal convective activity limiting cloud build-up or precipitation impacts. Official guidance from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather projects a high near 31°C with possible isolated showers, while broader model runs support slight warming potential into the low 30s amid typical early-summer insolation. These conditions align with historical June climatology for central Spain, where highs often reach the low-to-mid 30s, positioning 32°C as the market's leading outcome at 46.5% implied probability. Updated model runs and any late-day observations tomorrow will refine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volumen
$23,024Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Madrid on June 15, 2026, converge on daily maximum temperatures of 31–33°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system, light westerly winds, and minimal convective activity limiting cloud build-up or precipitation impacts. Official guidance from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather projects a high near 31°C with possible isolated showers, while broader model runs support slight warming potential into the low 30s amid typical early-summer insolation. These conditions align with historical June climatology for central Spain, where highs often reach the low-to-mid 30s, positioning 32°C as the market's leading outcome at 46.5% implied probability. Updated model runs and any late-day observations tomorrow will refine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$23,024Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Madrid on June 15, 2026, converge on daily maximum temperatures of 31–33°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system, light westerly winds, and minimal convective activity limiting cloud build-up or precipitation impacts. Official guidance from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather projects a high near 31°C with possible isolated showers, while broader model runs support slight warming potential into the low 30s amid typical early-summer insolation. These conditions align with historical June climatology for central Spain, where highs often reach the low-to-mid 30s, positioning 32°C as the market's leading outcome at 46.5% implied probability. Updated model runs and any late-day observations tomorrow will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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