Current meteorological forecasts for Madrid on June 14, 2026, show strong consensus for a daily maximum of 35°C, driving the market's near-certain implied probability. Official models from agencies including AEMET and international ensembles align on this peak under typical early-summer high-pressure conditions, with afternoon temperatures supported by clear skies, light winds, and seasonal solar heating in the central Iberian Plateau. Historical June averages near 28–30°C provide context, but recent model runs and observational trends indicate above-normal warmth without significant cooling factors like Atlantic moisture influx. Resolution hinges on official station readings, most likely at Retiro or Barajas; realistic challenges remain limited to late-day forecast revisions or localized measurement variations, though current data lock in the 35°C threshold with high confidence.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Madrid on June 14?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 14?
35°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$95,484 Vol.
$95,484 Vol.
14 jun 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$95,484 Vol.
$95,484 Vol.
14 jun 2026
31°C or below
$3,991 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$7,836 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$10,762 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$24,166 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$16,941 Vol.
100%
36°C
$17,345 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$8,980 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$2,264 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$1,163 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$1,021 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$1,016 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Madrid on June 14, 2026, show strong consensus for a daily maximum of 35°C, driving the market's near-certain implied probability. Official models from agencies including AEMET and international ensembles align on this peak under typical early-summer high-pressure conditions, with afternoon temperatures supported by clear skies, light winds, and seasonal solar heating in the central Iberian Plateau. Historical June averages near 28–30°C provide context, but recent model runs and observational trends indicate above-normal warmth without significant cooling factors like Atlantic moisture influx. Resolution hinges on official station readings, most likely at Retiro or Barajas; realistic challenges remain limited to late-day forecast revisions or localized measurement variations, though current data lock in the 35°C threshold with high confidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$95,484Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Madrid on June 14, 2026, show strong consensus for a daily maximum of 35°C, driving the market's near-certain implied probability. Official models from agencies including AEMET and international ensembles align on this peak under typical early-summer high-pressure conditions, with afternoon temperatures supported by clear skies, light winds, and seasonal solar heating in the central Iberian Plateau. Historical June averages near 28–30°C provide context, but recent model runs and observational trends indicate above-normal warmth without significant cooling factors like Atlantic moisture influx. Resolution hinges on official station readings, most likely at Retiro or Barajas; realistic challenges remain limited to late-day forecast revisions or localized measurement variations, though current data lock in the 35°C threshold with high confidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$95,484Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Madrid on June 14, 2026, show strong consensus for a daily maximum of 35°C, driving the market's near-certain implied probability. Official models from agencies including AEMET and international ensembles align on this peak under typical early-summer high-pressure conditions, with afternoon temperatures supported by clear skies, light winds, and seasonal solar heating in the central Iberian Plateau. Historical June averages near 28–30°C provide context, but recent model runs and observational trends indicate above-normal warmth without significant cooling factors like Atlantic moisture influx. Resolution hinges on official station readings, most likely at Retiro or Barajas; realistic challenges remain limited to late-day forecast revisions or localized measurement variations, though current data lock in the 35°C threshold with high confidence.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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