Recent Met Office guidance forecasts a 26°C daytime maximum in London on June 16 under building high pressure, delivering sunny spells, light-to-moderate breezes, and above-average temperatures for mid-June. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 25–26°C because ensemble models show modest uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing, where even brief cloud cover or slight wind shifts can trim or boost the recorded high by 1°C at official stations. Historical June averages near 20°C provide context for the warm anomaly, yet resolution hinges on precise timing of any showers and urban heat-island enhancement in central London. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on June 16?
26°C 37%
25°C 31%
24°C 16%
27°C 10.8%
$13,348 Vol.
$13,348 Vol.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
16%
25°C
31%
26°C
37%
27°C
11%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 37%
25°C 31%
24°C 16%
27°C 10.8%
$13,348 Vol.
$13,348 Vol.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
16%
25°C
31%
26°C
37%
27°C
11%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance forecasts a 26°C daytime maximum in London on June 16 under building high pressure, delivering sunny spells, light-to-moderate breezes, and above-average temperatures for mid-June. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 25–26°C because ensemble models show modest uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing, where even brief cloud cover or slight wind shifts can trim or boost the recorded high by 1°C at official stations. Historical June averages near 20°C provide context for the warm anomaly, yet resolution hinges on precise timing of any showers and urban heat-island enhancement in central London. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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