Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate Istanbul's June 15 maximum will most likely reach 28–30°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 28°C (20.5%), 29°C (41.5%), and 30°C (20.5%). This range reflects typical mid-June conditions under a stable high-pressure pattern with light southerly flow, moderate solar heating, and minimal cloud cover expected to limit extreme deviations. Official guidance from sources such as the UK Met Office and BBC Weather currently projects a high near 28°C, while climatological averages for the period hover around 25–26°C. Lower probabilities for 31°C or above stem from limited model support for stronger warming, and sub-27°C outcomes remain unlikely given current observational trends and minimal cooling signals. Updated model runs and any shifts in regional pressure systems will be key near-term drivers for traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?
29°C 42%
28°C 21%
30°C 21%
31°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
26°C or below
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
21%
29°C
42%
30°C
21%
31°C
11%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 42%
28°C 21%
30°C 21%
31°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
26°C or below
$940 Vol.
2%
27°C
$524 Vol.
3%
28°C
$408 Vol.
21%
29°C
$603 Vol.
42%
30°C
$826 Vol.
21%
31°C
$782 Vol.
11%
32°C
$1,510 Vol.
1%
33°C
$859 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,074 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$516 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,048 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate Istanbul's June 15 maximum will most likely reach 28–30°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 28°C (20.5%), 29°C (41.5%), and 30°C (20.5%). This range reflects typical mid-June conditions under a stable high-pressure pattern with light southerly flow, moderate solar heating, and minimal cloud cover expected to limit extreme deviations. Official guidance from sources such as the UK Met Office and BBC Weather currently projects a high near 28°C, while climatological averages for the period hover around 25–26°C. Lower probabilities for 31°C or above stem from limited model support for stronger warming, and sub-27°C outcomes remain unlikely given current observational trends and minimal cooling signals. Updated model runs and any shifts in regional pressure systems will be key near-term drivers for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$8,946Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate Istanbul's June 15 maximum will most likely reach 28–30°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 28°C (20.5%), 29°C (41.5%), and 30°C (20.5%). This range reflects typical mid-June conditions under a stable high-pressure pattern with light southerly flow, moderate solar heating, and minimal cloud cover expected to limit extreme deviations. Official guidance from sources such as the UK Met Office and BBC Weather currently projects a high near 28°C, while climatological averages for the period hover around 25–26°C. Lower probabilities for 31°C or above stem from limited model support for stronger warming, and sub-27°C outcomes remain unlikely given current observational trends and minimal cooling signals. Updated model runs and any shifts in regional pressure systems will be key near-term drivers for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,946Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate Istanbul's June 15 maximum will most likely reach 28–30°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 28°C (20.5%), 29°C (41.5%), and 30°C (20.5%). This range reflects typical mid-June conditions under a stable high-pressure pattern with light southerly flow, moderate solar heating, and minimal cloud cover expected to limit extreme deviations. Official guidance from sources such as the UK Met Office and BBC Weather currently projects a high near 28°C, while climatological averages for the period hover around 25–26°C. Lower probabilities for 31°C or above stem from limited model support for stronger warming, and sub-27°C outcomes remain unlikely given current observational trends and minimal cooling signals. Updated model runs and any shifts in regional pressure systems will be key near-term drivers for traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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