Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and regional models indicate a daytime peak of 32°C in Guangzhou on June 14, driven by typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover allowing efficient solar heating without convective cooling. Current surface observations and ensemble guidance show temperatures stabilizing near this threshold, aligning with historical June averages of 31–33°C and supporting the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 32°C as the daily high. Realistic challenges include rapid afternoon thunderstorm development, which could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, or minor discrepancies in official station measurements versus model outputs that might shift the recorded maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 14?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 14?
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$61,398 Vol.
$61,398 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$61,398 Vol.
$61,398 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
23°C or below
$151 Vol.
No
24°C
$151 Vol.
No
25°C
$568 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,320 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,364 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,542 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,844 Vol.
No
30°C
$7,159 Vol.
No
31°C
$9,847 Vol.
No
32°C
$14,480 Vol.
Yes
33°C or higher
$10,973 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and regional models indicate a daytime peak of 32°C in Guangzhou on June 14, driven by typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover allowing efficient solar heating without convective cooling. Current surface observations and ensemble guidance show temperatures stabilizing near this threshold, aligning with historical June averages of 31–33°C and supporting the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 32°C as the daily high. Realistic challenges include rapid afternoon thunderstorm development, which could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, or minor discrepancies in official station measurements versus model outputs that might shift the recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Volume
$61,398End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and regional models indicate a daytime peak of 32°C in Guangzhou on June 14, driven by typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover allowing efficient solar heating without convective cooling. Current surface observations and ensemble guidance show temperatures stabilizing near this threshold, aligning with historical June averages of 31–33°C and supporting the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 32°C as the daily high. Realistic challenges include rapid afternoon thunderstorm development, which could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, or minor discrepancies in official station measurements versus model outputs that might shift the recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61,398End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and regional models indicate a daytime peak of 32°C in Guangzhou on June 14, driven by typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover allowing efficient solar heating without convective cooling. Current surface observations and ensemble guidance show temperatures stabilizing near this threshold, aligning with historical June averages of 31–33°C and supporting the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 32°C as the daily high. Realistic challenges include rapid afternoon thunderstorm development, which could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, or minor discrepancies in official station measurements versus model outputs that might shift the recorded maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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