Trader consensus prices Sen. Therese Terlaje at 59% implied probability to win the Guam Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 1, driven by her commanding lead in a recent Kandit News poll, consistent top vote-getter status in past legislative races as Speaker of the Legislature, and momentum from officially filing her candidacy with running mate Sen. Sabina Perez last Friday. Lt. Gov. Josh Tenorio trails at 26% amid challenges tied to his family members' ongoing federal Pandemic Unemployment Assistance fraud indictments—trial set for September post-primary—despite his early announcement and pairing with Sen. Tina Muña-Barnes on the same filing day. Sen. Joe S. San Agustin lags at 9.3%, with petition deadlines closed and campaigning now intensifying ahead of early voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTherese Terlaje 59%
Josh Tenorio 25%
Joe S. San Agustin 6.0%
$16,965 Vol.
$16,965 Vol.
Therese Terlaje
59%
Josh Tenorio
25%
Joe S. San Agustin
12%
Therese Terlaje 59%
Josh Tenorio 25%
Joe S. San Agustin 6.0%
$16,965 Vol.
$16,965 Vol.
Therese Terlaje
59%
Josh Tenorio
25%
Joe S. San Agustin
12%
If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Sen. Therese Terlaje at 59% implied probability to win the Guam Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 1, driven by her commanding lead in a recent Kandit News poll, consistent top vote-getter status in past legislative races as Speaker of the Legislature, and momentum from officially filing her candidacy with running mate Sen. Sabina Perez last Friday. Lt. Gov. Josh Tenorio trails at 26% amid challenges tied to his family members' ongoing federal Pandemic Unemployment Assistance fraud indictments—trial set for September post-primary—despite his early announcement and pairing with Sen. Tina Muña-Barnes on the same filing day. Sen. Joe S. San Agustin lags at 9.3%, with petition deadlines closed and campaigning now intensifying ahead of early voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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