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icon for Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?

icon for Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?

May 1

Jun 1

May 1

Jun 1

1040-1079 98.8%

1080-1119 <1%

1120-1159 <1%

960-999 <1%

Polymarket

$13,176,882 Vol.

1040-1079 98.8%

1080-1119 <1%

1120-1159 <1%

960-999 <1%

Polymarket

$13,176,882 Vol.

960-999

$232,339 Vol.

<1%

1000-1039

$324,631 Vol.

<1%

1040-1079

$553,309 Vol.

99%

1080-1119

$520,603 Vol.

1%

1120-1159

$543,577 Vol.

<1%

1160-1199

$1,007,671 Vol.

<1%

1200-1239

$479,306 Vol.

<1%

1240-1279

$207,161 Vol.

<1%

1280-1319

$222,466 Vol.

<1%

1320-1359

$334,986 Vol.

<1%

1360-1399

$258,369 Vol.

<1%

1400-1439

$587,508 Vol.

<1%

1440-1479

$128,315 Vol.

<1%

1480-1519

$113,727 Vol.

<1%

1520-1559

$122,584 Vol.

<1%

1560-1599

$141,553 Vol.

<1%

1600-1679

$126,460 Vol.

<1%

1680-1759

$172,744 Vol.

<1%

1760-1839

$126,905 Vol.

<1%

1840-1919

$177,613 Vol.

<1%

1920-1999

$56,038 Vol.

<1%

2000+

$47,407 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced around an overwhelming 98.8% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 1040-1079 times on X in April 2026, driven by his relentlessly consistent high-volume activity throughout the month—averaging 35-43 posts daily early on, settling to 23-26 recently per XTracker data synced April 30 at 12:10 PM EST. Weekly sub-markets, like 158 posts from April 24-May 1, confirm the pace locks the total firmly in this bin even with final hours remaining. This skin-in-the-game assessment reflects Musk's cultural role as X's most prolific voice, fueling viral engagement on SpaceX milestones and policy debates. Realistic upsets would require an anomalous final-day outburst exceeding 40 posts or near-silence under 10, defying his established rhythm.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$13,176,882
End Date
May 1, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced around an overwhelming 98.8% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 1040-1079 times on X in April 2026, driven by his relentlessly consistent high-volume activity throughout the month—averaging 35-43 posts daily early on, settling to 23-26 recently per XTracker data synced April 30 at 12:10 PM EST. Weekly sub-markets, like 158 posts from April 24-May 1, confirm the pace locks the total firmly in this bin even with final hours remaining. This skin-in-the-game assessment reflects Musk's cultural role as X's most prolific voice, fueling viral engagement on SpaceX milestones and policy debates. Realistic upsets would require an anomalous final-day outburst exceeding 40 posts or near-silence under 10, defying his established rhythm.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$13,176,882
End Date
May 1, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 66+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1040-1079" at 99%, followed by "1080-1119" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?" has generated $13.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?," browse the 66+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?" is "1040-1079" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1080-1119" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.