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icon for Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?

icon for Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?

May 1

Jun 1

May 1

Jun 1

1040-1079 98.4%

1080-1119 1.1%

1120-1159 <1%

1000-1039 <1%

Polymarket

$13,419,017 Vol.

1040-1079 98.4%

1080-1119 1.1%

1120-1159 <1%

1000-1039 <1%

Polymarket

$13,419,017 Vol.

960-999

$237,285 Vol.

<1%

1000-1039

$452,828 Vol.

<1%

1040-1079

$561,836 Vol.

98%

1080-1119

$524,021 Vol.

1%

1120-1159

$545,708 Vol.

<1%

1160-1199

$1,010,826 Vol.

<1%

1200-1239

$484,546 Vol.

<1%

1240-1279

$210,871 Vol.

<1%

1280-1319

$228,246 Vol.

<1%

1320-1359

$336,291 Vol.

<1%

1360-1399

$266,299 Vol.

<1%

1400-1439

$588,788 Vol.

<1%

1440-1479

$135,165 Vol.

<1%

1480-1519

$118,357 Vol.

<1%

1520-1559

$129,434 Vol.

<1%

1560-1599

$148,253 Vol.

<1%

1600-1679

$133,420 Vol.

<1%

1680-1759

$177,484 Vol.

<1%

1760-1839

$132,715 Vol.

<1%

1840-1919

$182,603 Vol.

<1%

1920-1999

$61,808 Vol.

<1%

2000+

$50,133 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98.5% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 1040-1079 times on X in April 2026, driven by xTracker data showing approximately 1023 posts as of late April 30—firmly projecting into this bin with mere hours left in the month. Musk's consistent cadence, averaging 25-35 daily non-reply posts (main feed originals, quotes, reposts), held steady amid his high-profile OpenAI trial testimony starting April 27, where he still logged 38 posts that day. Recent weekly markets confirm this pace, with April 24-May 1 at 158 posts over six days (26/day average). Realistic upsets require an anomalous <17 or >56 posts today—unlikely given historical highs around 40-43 and his active engagement on SpaceX wins, AI upgrades, and cultural debates.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$13,419,017
End Date
May 1, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98.5% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 1040-1079 times on X in April 2026, driven by xTracker data showing approximately 1023 posts as of late April 30—firmly projecting into this bin with mere hours left in the month. Musk's consistent cadence, averaging 25-35 daily non-reply posts (main feed originals, quotes, reposts), held steady amid his high-profile OpenAI trial testimony starting April 27, where he still logged 38 posts that day. Recent weekly markets confirm this pace, with April 24-May 1 at 158 posts over six days (26/day average). Realistic upsets require an anomalous <17 or >56 posts today—unlikely given historical highs around 40-43 and his active engagement on SpaceX wins, AI upgrades, and cultural debates.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$13,419,017
End Date
May 1, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 66+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1040-1079" at 98%, followed by "1080-1119" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?" has generated $13.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?," browse the 66+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?" is "1040-1079" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1080-1119" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.