Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80-99 Truth Social posts outcome at 29.5% for Donald Trump's activity from April 28 to May 5, reflecting a recent slowdown to an average of 7 posts per day over the past week—down from historical 2025 averages near 18 daily—driven by steady but unfrenzied commentary on Iran Strait of Hormuz tensions, filibuster battles, and media critiques. With roughly 22 posts logged in the first three days (9 on April 28, 9 on April 29, 4 so far on April 30), the race stays tight across 60-119 brackets due to Trump's variable habits, including late-night clusters and potential binges. A May 1 rally could accelerate volume through event hype, while packed presidential duties risk quieter days and lower totals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated80-99 30%
100-119 20%
60-79 17.3%
120-139 12%
$105,451 Vol.
$105,451 Vol.
May 5, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
1%
40-59
8%
60-79
17%
80-99
30%
100-119
20%
120-139
12%
140-159
6%
160-179
6%
180-199
3%
200+
5%
80-99 30%
100-119 20%
60-79 17.3%
120-139 12%
$105,451 Vol.
$105,451 Vol.
May 5, 2026
<20
$68,978 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$26,691 Vol.
1%
40-59
$2,582 Vol.
8%
60-79
$1,312 Vol.
17%
80-99
$894 Vol.
30%
100-119
$850 Vol.
20%
120-139
$522 Vol.
12%
140-159
$1,856 Vol.
6%
160-179
$747 Vol.
6%
180-199
$496 Vol.
3%
200+
$1,315 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80-99 Truth Social posts outcome at 29.5% for Donald Trump's activity from April 28 to May 5, reflecting a recent slowdown to an average of 7 posts per day over the past week—down from historical 2025 averages near 18 daily—driven by steady but unfrenzied commentary on Iran Strait of Hormuz tensions, filibuster battles, and media critiques. With roughly 22 posts logged in the first three days (9 on April 28, 9 on April 29, 4 so far on April 30), the race stays tight across 60-119 brackets due to Trump's variable habits, including late-night clusters and potential binges. A May 1 rally could accelerate volume through event hype, while packed presidential duties risk quieter days and lower totals.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$105,451End Date
May 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80-99 Truth Social posts outcome at 29.5% for Donald Trump's activity from April 28 to May 5, reflecting a recent slowdown to an average of 7 posts per day over the past week—down from historical 2025 averages near 18 daily—driven by steady but unfrenzied commentary on Iran Strait of Hormuz tensions, filibuster battles, and media critiques. With roughly 22 posts logged in the first three days (9 on April 28, 9 on April 29, 4 so far on April 30), the race stays tight across 60-119 brackets due to Trump's variable habits, including late-night clusters and potential binges. A May 1 rally could accelerate volume through event hype, while packed presidential duties risk quieter days and lower totals.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$105,451End Date
May 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80-99 Truth Social posts outcome at 29.5% for Donald Trump's activity from April 28 to May 5, reflecting a recent slowdown to an average of 7 posts per day over the past week—down from historical 2025 averages near 18 daily—driven by steady but unfrenzied commentary on Iran Strait of Hormuz tensions, filibuster battles, and media critiques. With roughly 22 posts logged in the first three days (9 on April 28, 9 on April 29, 4 so far on April 30), the race stays tight across 60-119 brackets due to Trump's variable habits, including late-night clusters and potential binges. A May 1 rally could accelerate volume through event hype, while packed presidential duties risk quieter days and lower totals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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