Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party candidate Shin Yong-han at 91.5% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026, Chungcheongbuk-do gubernatorial election, driven by a fresh April 28 Gallup Korea poll showing him leading incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Young-hwan 55% to 29%. Shin's momentum stems from his smooth primary victory on April 4 amid party support for generational change, contrasting Kim's turbulent nomination process, including an initial exclusion overturned by court injunction on April 27. This reflects broader opposition strength in recent national surveys. While commanding, the race could shift with scandals, incumbency-driven turnout surges, or campaign missteps in the final weeks before the single-round vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChungcheongbuk Province Governor Election Winner
Chungcheongbuk Province Governor Election Winner
Shin Yong-han 92%
Kim Young-hwan 5.5%
Lee Jong-bae 3.0%
Noh Yeong-min 1.3%
$28,409 Vol.
$28,409 Vol.
Shin Yong-han
92%
Kim Young-hwan
6%
Lee Jong-bae
3%
Noh Yeong-min
1%
Cho Gil-hyeong
1%
Yoon Hee-geun
<1%
Do Jong-hwan
<1%
Song Ki-sub
<1%
Shin Yong-han 92%
Kim Young-hwan 5.5%
Lee Jong-bae 3.0%
Noh Yeong-min 1.3%
$28,409 Vol.
$28,409 Vol.
Shin Yong-han
92%
Kim Young-hwan
6%
Lee Jong-bae
3%
Noh Yeong-min
1%
Cho Gil-hyeong
1%
Yoon Hee-geun
<1%
Do Jong-hwan
<1%
Song Ki-sub
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Market Opened: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party candidate Shin Yong-han at 91.5% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026, Chungcheongbuk-do gubernatorial election, driven by a fresh April 28 Gallup Korea poll showing him leading incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Young-hwan 55% to 29%. Shin's momentum stems from his smooth primary victory on April 4 amid party support for generational change, contrasting Kim's turbulent nomination process, including an initial exclusion overturned by court injunction on April 27. This reflects broader opposition strength in recent national surveys. While commanding, the race could shift with scandals, incumbency-driven turnout surges, or campaign missteps in the final weeks before the single-round vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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