Xi Jinping has maintained firm control through repeated military purges targeting senior PLA figures, including investigations into vice chairmen of the Central Military Commission for discipline violations, which analysts attribute to loyalty enforcement rather than organized resistance. These actions, occurring amid opaque elite politics, have eliminated potential rivals without triggering public challenges or verified coup plots, reinforcing trader assessments that a widely reported attempt remains improbable before 2027. China's centralized party structures, emphasis on internal stability, and absence of credible opposition further support the 97 percent consensus for no. Late-breaking developments such as acute leadership health crises or unforeseen external shocks could theoretically create openings, though such shifts lack supporting evidence in current reporting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$139,484 Vol.
$139,484 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$139,484 Vol.
$139,484 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping has maintained firm control through repeated military purges targeting senior PLA figures, including investigations into vice chairmen of the Central Military Commission for discipline violations, which analysts attribute to loyalty enforcement rather than organized resistance. These actions, occurring amid opaque elite politics, have eliminated potential rivals without triggering public challenges or verified coup plots, reinforcing trader assessments that a widely reported attempt remains improbable before 2027. China's centralized party structures, emphasis on internal stability, and absence of credible opposition further support the 97 percent consensus for no. Late-breaking developments such as acute leadership health crises or unforeseen external shocks could theoretically create openings, though such shifts lack supporting evidence in current reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$139,484Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping has maintained firm control through repeated military purges targeting senior PLA figures, including investigations into vice chairmen of the Central Military Commission for discipline violations, which analysts attribute to loyalty enforcement rather than organized resistance. These actions, occurring amid opaque elite politics, have eliminated potential rivals without triggering public challenges or verified coup plots, reinforcing trader assessments that a widely reported attempt remains improbable before 2027. China's centralized party structures, emphasis on internal stability, and absence of credible opposition further support the 97 percent consensus for no. Late-breaking developments such as acute leadership health crises or unforeseen external shocks could theoretically create openings, though such shifts lack supporting evidence in current reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$139,484Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping has maintained firm control through repeated military purges targeting senior PLA figures, including investigations into vice chairmen of the Central Military Commission for discipline violations, which analysts attribute to loyalty enforcement rather than organized resistance. These actions, occurring amid opaque elite politics, have eliminated potential rivals without triggering public challenges or verified coup plots, reinforcing trader assessments that a widely reported attempt remains improbable before 2027. China's centralized party structures, emphasis on internal stability, and absence of credible opposition further support the 97 percent consensus for no. Late-breaking developments such as acute leadership health crises or unforeseen external shocks could theoretically create openings, though such shifts lack supporting evidence in current reporting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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