Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a slim 57.5% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its benchmark rate steady at 2.50% in July, reflecting the central bank's data-dependent stance after its April 10 unanimous decision to maintain rates for the seventh straight meeting amid balanced growth-inflation risks. Robust Q1 2026 GDP expansion of 1.7% quarter-on-quarter—fueled by strong exports—has nearly eliminated cut odds at 1.6%, while March CPI acceleration to 2.2% year-on-year (below 2.4% forecasts but with upside from rising oil prices) bolsters 43.5% hike expectations, particularly if April CPI prints near 2.8% as projected. New Governor Shin's balanced policy pledge adds caution; watch May meeting and CPI data for shifts ahead of the July 10-11 session.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBank of Korea decision in July?
Bank of Korea decision in July?
No Change 58%
Increase 43%
Decrease 1.1%
$12,579 Vol.
$12,579 Vol.
Decrease
1%
No Change
58%
Increase
43%
No Change 58%
Increase 43%
Decrease 1.1%
$12,579 Vol.
$12,579 Vol.
Decrease
1%
No Change
58%
Increase
43%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a slim 57.5% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its benchmark rate steady at 2.50% in July, reflecting the central bank's data-dependent stance after its April 10 unanimous decision to maintain rates for the seventh straight meeting amid balanced growth-inflation risks. Robust Q1 2026 GDP expansion of 1.7% quarter-on-quarter—fueled by strong exports—has nearly eliminated cut odds at 1.6%, while March CPI acceleration to 2.2% year-on-year (below 2.4% forecasts but with upside from rising oil prices) bolsters 43.5% hike expectations, particularly if April CPI prints near 2.8% as projected. New Governor Shin's balanced policy pledge adds caution; watch May meeting and CPI data for shifts ahead of the July 10-11 session.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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