Polymarket traders are evenly split at 47% implied probability each on South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation falling below 1.5% or exceeding 3.0%, reflecting dueling dynamics of softening domestic demand against imported energy shocks. March 2026 CPI rose to 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but undershooting 2.4% forecasts—while core inflation held at 2.2% and producer prices surged 4.1% to a three-year high amid Middle East-driven oil volatility. The Bank of Korea held its policy rate at 2.5% on April 10, signaling mid-to-high 2% inflation expectations versus its 2.2% forecast, with consumer sentiment eyeing 2.9%. Key swing factors include upcoming April CPI data and sustained oil pressures, pitting disinflation bets against reacceleration risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated3.0%+ 51%
2.4% to 2.6% 34.7%
1.8% to 2.0% 22.6%
1.5% to 1.7% 2%
$10,844 Vol.
$10,844 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<1.5%
33%
1.5% to 1.7%
22%
1.8% to 2.0%
23%
2.1% to 2.3%
32%
2.4% to 2.6%
35%
2.7% to 2.9%
34%
3.0%+
51%
3.0%+ 51%
2.4% to 2.6% 34.7%
1.8% to 2.0% 22.6%
1.5% to 1.7% 2%
$10,844 Vol.
$10,844 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<1.5%
$950 Vol.
33%
1.5% to 1.7%
$959 Vol.
22%
1.8% to 2.0%
$103 Vol.
23%
2.1% to 2.3%
$159 Vol.
32%
2.4% to 2.6%
$143 Vol.
35%
2.7% to 2.9%
$134 Vol.
34%
3.0%+
$8,397 Vol.
51%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Polymarket traders are evenly split at 47% implied probability each on South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation falling below 1.5% or exceeding 3.0%, reflecting dueling dynamics of softening domestic demand against imported energy shocks. March 2026 CPI rose to 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but undershooting 2.4% forecasts—while core inflation held at 2.2% and producer prices surged 4.1% to a three-year high amid Middle East-driven oil volatility. The Bank of Korea held its policy rate at 2.5% on April 10, signaling mid-to-high 2% inflation expectations versus its 2.2% forecast, with consumer sentiment eyeing 2.9%. Key swing factors include upcoming April CPI data and sustained oil pressures, pitting disinflation bets against reacceleration risks.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Market Opened: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volume
$10,844End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Polymarket traders are evenly split at 47% implied probability each on South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation falling below 1.5% or exceeding 3.0%, reflecting dueling dynamics of softening domestic demand against imported energy shocks. March 2026 CPI rose to 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but undershooting 2.4% forecasts—while core inflation held at 2.2% and producer prices surged 4.1% to a three-year high amid Middle East-driven oil volatility. The Bank of Korea held its policy rate at 2.5% on April 10, signaling mid-to-high 2% inflation expectations versus its 2.2% forecast, with consumer sentiment eyeing 2.9%. Key swing factors include upcoming April CPI data and sustained oil pressures, pitting disinflation bets against reacceleration risks.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volume
$10,844End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders are evenly split at 47% implied probability each on South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation falling below 1.5% or exceeding 3.0%, reflecting dueling dynamics of softening domestic demand against imported energy shocks. March 2026 CPI rose to 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but undershooting 2.4% forecasts—while core inflation held at 2.2% and producer prices surged 4.1% to a three-year high amid Middle East-driven oil volatility. The Bank of Korea held its policy rate at 2.5% on April 10, signaling mid-to-high 2% inflation expectations versus its 2.2% forecast, with consumer sentiment eyeing 2.9%. Key swing factors include upcoming April CPI data and sustained oil pressures, pitting disinflation bets against reacceleration risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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