Lee Jae-myung currently serves as South Korea’s president following his 2025 election victory, with the constitution shielding sitting presidents from most criminal charges or detention except in cases of insurrection or treason. Ongoing trials related to prior election-law violations, bribery allegations, and other matters from his time as mayor and governor have been suspended or postponed under this immunity provision. Recent developments through mid-2026 show Lee focused on domestic policy, international diplomacy, and cabinet actions, with no verified moves toward arrest or detention. Trader consensus reflected in the 89.3% probability for “No” aligns with these structural protections and the absence of qualifying legal or political triggers that would override them before the end of 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Lee Jae-myung arrestado antes de 2027?
¿Lee Jae-myung arrestado antes de 2027?
Sí
$441,568 Vol.
$441,568 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$441,568 Vol.
$441,568 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lee Jae-myung currently serves as South Korea’s president following his 2025 election victory, with the constitution shielding sitting presidents from most criminal charges or detention except in cases of insurrection or treason. Ongoing trials related to prior election-law violations, bribery allegations, and other matters from his time as mayor and governor have been suspended or postponed under this immunity provision. Recent developments through mid-2026 show Lee focused on domestic policy, international diplomacy, and cabinet actions, with no verified moves toward arrest or detention. Trader consensus reflected in the 89.3% probability for “No” aligns with these structural protections and the absence of qualifying legal or political triggers that would override them before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Volumen
$441,568Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lee Jae-myung currently serves as South Korea’s president following his 2025 election victory, with the constitution shielding sitting presidents from most criminal charges or detention except in cases of insurrection or treason. Ongoing trials related to prior election-law violations, bribery allegations, and other matters from his time as mayor and governor have been suspended or postponed under this immunity provision. Recent developments through mid-2026 show Lee focused on domestic policy, international diplomacy, and cabinet actions, with no verified moves toward arrest or detention. Trader consensus reflected in the 89.3% probability for “No” aligns with these structural protections and the absence of qualifying legal or political triggers that would override them before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$441,568Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Lee Jae-myung currently serves as South Korea’s president following his 2025 election victory, with the constitution shielding sitting presidents from most criminal charges or detention except in cases of insurrection or treason. Ongoing trials related to prior election-law violations, bribery allegations, and other matters from his time as mayor and governor have been suspended or postponed under this immunity provision. Recent developments through mid-2026 show Lee focused on domestic policy, international diplomacy, and cabinet actions, with no verified moves toward arrest or detention. Trader consensus reflected in the 89.3% probability for “No” aligns with these structural protections and the absence of qualifying legal or political triggers that would override them before the end of 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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