President Lee Jae-myung's position remains secure nearly 11 months after his June 2025 snap election victory following Yoon Suk-yeol's impeachment and removal, with his Democratic Party holding a National Assembly majority that blocks the two-thirds supermajority required for impeachment. Recent state visits to India (April 19-21, 2026) and Vietnam signal diplomatic continuity and political stability, reinforcing trader consensus on low risk before 2027. Pre-presidency legal cases, including election law violations, are suspended under Article 84 presidential immunity, despite ongoing opposition demands for special counsel probes into alleged prosecutorial manipulation. While late-breaking scandals or health issues could shift dynamics, current institutional barriers sustain the strong "No" implied probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung's position remains secure nearly 11 months after his June 2025 snap election victory following Yoon Suk-yeol's impeachment and removal, with his Democratic Party holding a National Assembly majority that blocks the two-thirds supermajority required for impeachment. Recent state visits to India (April 19-21, 2026) and Vietnam signal diplomatic continuity and political stability, reinforcing trader consensus on low risk before 2027. Pre-presidency legal cases, including election law violations, are suspended under Article 84 presidential immunity, despite ongoing opposition demands for special counsel probes into alleged prosecutorial manipulation. While late-breaking scandals or health issues could shift dynamics, current institutional barriers sustain the strong "No" implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$6,488End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung's position remains secure nearly 11 months after his June 2025 snap election victory following Yoon Suk-yeol's impeachment and removal, with his Democratic Party holding a National Assembly majority that blocks the two-thirds supermajority required for impeachment. Recent state visits to India (April 19-21, 2026) and Vietnam signal diplomatic continuity and political stability, reinforcing trader consensus on low risk before 2027. Pre-presidency legal cases, including election law violations, are suspended under Article 84 presidential immunity, despite ongoing opposition demands for special counsel probes into alleged prosecutorial manipulation. While late-breaking scandals or health issues could shift dynamics, current institutional barriers sustain the strong "No" implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$6,488End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung's position remains secure nearly 11 months after his June 2025 snap election victory following Yoon Suk-yeol's impeachment and removal, with his Democratic Party holding a National Assembly majority that blocks the two-thirds supermajority required for impeachment. Recent state visits to India (April 19-21, 2026) and Vietnam signal diplomatic continuity and political stability, reinforcing trader consensus on low risk before 2027. Pre-presidency legal cases, including election law violations, are suspended under Article 84 presidential immunity, despite ongoing opposition demands for special counsel probes into alleged prosecutorial manipulation. While late-breaking scandals or health issues could shift dynamics, current institutional barriers sustain the strong "No" implied probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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