President Lee Jae-myung's strong approval ratings near 60 percent in recent 2026 polls, combined with the Democratic Party's legislative majority, underpin trader expectations that impeachment before 2027 remains unlikely. Elected in the June 2025 snap election following Yoon Suk-yeol's removal, Lee has focused on pragmatic diplomacy, economic stabilization, and domestic policy execution without triggering sustained opposition campaigns or procedural challenges in the National Assembly. While South Korea's history shows frequent presidential accountability actions, current conditions lack the catalysts—such as major scandals, sharp polling drops, or cross-party consensus—that historically precede impeachment motions. Traders price the "No" outcome at 89.1 percent based on this stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
$13,546 Vol.
$13,546 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$13,546 Vol.
$13,546 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung's strong approval ratings near 60 percent in recent 2026 polls, combined with the Democratic Party's legislative majority, underpin trader expectations that impeachment before 2027 remains unlikely. Elected in the June 2025 snap election following Yoon Suk-yeol's removal, Lee has focused on pragmatic diplomacy, economic stabilization, and domestic policy execution without triggering sustained opposition campaigns or procedural challenges in the National Assembly. While South Korea's history shows frequent presidential accountability actions, current conditions lack the catalysts—such as major scandals, sharp polling drops, or cross-party consensus—that historically precede impeachment motions. Traders price the "No" outcome at 89.1 percent based on this stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$13,546End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung's strong approval ratings near 60 percent in recent 2026 polls, combined with the Democratic Party's legislative majority, underpin trader expectations that impeachment before 2027 remains unlikely. Elected in the June 2025 snap election following Yoon Suk-yeol's removal, Lee has focused on pragmatic diplomacy, economic stabilization, and domestic policy execution without triggering sustained opposition campaigns or procedural challenges in the National Assembly. While South Korea's history shows frequent presidential accountability actions, current conditions lack the catalysts—such as major scandals, sharp polling drops, or cross-party consensus—that historically precede impeachment motions. Traders price the "No" outcome at 89.1 percent based on this stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$13,546End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung's strong approval ratings near 60 percent in recent 2026 polls, combined with the Democratic Party's legislative majority, underpin trader expectations that impeachment before 2027 remains unlikely. Elected in the June 2025 snap election following Yoon Suk-yeol's removal, Lee has focused on pragmatic diplomacy, economic stabilization, and domestic policy execution without triggering sustained opposition campaigns or procedural challenges in the National Assembly. While South Korea's history shows frequent presidential accountability actions, current conditions lack the catalysts—such as major scandals, sharp polling drops, or cross-party consensus—that historically precede impeachment motions. Traders price the "No" outcome at 89.1 percent based on this stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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