Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus at 94.5% for Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election stems from recent polls showing the incumbent party, led by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, maintaining a persistent lead amid opposition setbacks. Key drivers include Pashinyan's April nomination as the party's premier candidate, arrests of pro-Russian Strong Armenia supporters on electoral bribery charges earlier this month, and the Central Election Commission's identification of documentation irregularities for eight opposition groups as of April 30, requiring fixes within 48 hours. Under proportional representation with a 5% party threshold, Civil Contract's incumbency and fragmented rivals solidify its path to a National Assembly majority. Upsets could arise from a major incumbent scandal, opposition consolidation into viable alliances, or external shocks like Azerbaijan border escalations before the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCivil Contract 95%
Armenia Alliance 3.4%
Orinats Yerkir <1%
Prosperous Armenia <1%
$113,849 Vol.
$113,849 Vol.
Jun 7, 2026
Civil Contract
95%
Armenia Alliance
3%
Orinats Yerkir
1%
Prosperous Armenia
<1%
Hanrapetutyun Party
<1%
Armenian National Congress
<1%
Bright Armenia
<1%
Heritage
<1%
I Have Honor Alliance
<1%
Civil Contract 95%
Armenia Alliance 3.4%
Orinats Yerkir <1%
Prosperous Armenia <1%
$113,849 Vol.
$113,849 Vol.
Jun 7, 2026
Civil Contract
$45,330 Vol.
95%
Armenia Alliance
$50,991 Vol.
3%
Orinats Yerkir
$2,669 Vol.
1%
Prosperous Armenia
$2,375 Vol.
<1%
Hanrapetutyun Party
$2,196 Vol.
<1%
Armenian National Congress
$2,663 Vol.
<1%
Bright Armenia
$2,987 Vol.
<1%
Heritage
$2,576 Vol.
<1%
I Have Honor Alliance
$2,061 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus at 94.5% for Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election stems from recent polls showing the incumbent party, led by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, maintaining a persistent lead amid opposition setbacks. Key drivers include Pashinyan's April nomination as the party's premier candidate, arrests of pro-Russian Strong Armenia supporters on electoral bribery charges earlier this month, and the Central Election Commission's identification of documentation irregularities for eight opposition groups as of April 30, requiring fixes within 48 hours. Under proportional representation with a 5% party threshold, Civil Contract's incumbency and fragmented rivals solidify its path to a National Assembly majority. Upsets could arise from a major incumbent scandal, opposition consolidation into viable alliances, or external shocks like Azerbaijan border escalations before the vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Market Opened: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
Volume
$113,849End Date
Jun 7, 2026Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus at 94.5% for Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election stems from recent polls showing the incumbent party, led by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, maintaining a persistent lead amid opposition setbacks. Key drivers include Pashinyan's April nomination as the party's premier candidate, arrests of pro-Russian Strong Armenia supporters on electoral bribery charges earlier this month, and the Central Election Commission's identification of documentation irregularities for eight opposition groups as of April 30, requiring fixes within 48 hours. Under proportional representation with a 5% party threshold, Civil Contract's incumbency and fragmented rivals solidify its path to a National Assembly majority. Upsets could arise from a major incumbent scandal, opposition consolidation into viable alliances, or external shocks like Azerbaijan border escalations before the vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Volume
$113,849End Date
Jun 7, 2026Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus at 94.5% for Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election stems from recent polls showing the incumbent party, led by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, maintaining a persistent lead amid opposition setbacks. Key drivers include Pashinyan's April nomination as the party's premier candidate, arrests of pro-Russian Strong Armenia supporters on electoral bribery charges earlier this month, and the Central Election Commission's identification of documentation irregularities for eight opposition groups as of April 30, requiring fixes within 48 hours. Under proportional representation with a 5% party threshold, Civil Contract's incumbency and fragmented rivals solidify its path to a National Assembly majority. Upsets could arise from a major incumbent scandal, opposition consolidation into viable alliances, or external shocks like Azerbaijan border escalations before the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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