Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7, released April 16, 2026, has propelled the model's FrontierMath performance to 43.8% on Tiers 1-4—nearly quadrupling prior scores from under 3% at benchmark launch—signaling accelerated gains in advanced mathematical reasoning via enhanced chain-of-thought and tool-use capabilities. This positions Claude statistically close to OpenAI's GPT-5.4 leader at around 47%, amid fierce competition among frontier AI labs chasing breakthroughs on Epoch AI's unpublished, PhD-level problems. Trader sentiment hinges on Claude 5's rumored Q2 rollout, potentially surpassing key thresholds before June 30, though timelines often slip and new evaluations could recalibrate standings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$59,659 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
50%+
36%
$59,659 Vol.
50%+
$12,625 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7, released April 16, 2026, has propelled the model's FrontierMath performance to 43.8% on Tiers 1-4—nearly quadrupling prior scores from under 3% at benchmark launch—signaling accelerated gains in advanced mathematical reasoning via enhanced chain-of-thought and tool-use capabilities. This positions Claude statistically close to OpenAI's GPT-5.4 leader at around 47%, amid fierce competition among frontier AI labs chasing breakthroughs on Epoch AI's unpublished, PhD-level problems. Trader sentiment hinges on Claude 5's rumored Q2 rollout, potentially surpassing key thresholds before June 30, though timelines often slip and new evaluations could recalibrate standings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$59,659End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7, released April 16, 2026, has propelled the model's FrontierMath performance to 43.8% on Tiers 1-4—nearly quadrupling prior scores from under 3% at benchmark launch—signaling accelerated gains in advanced mathematical reasoning via enhanced chain-of-thought and tool-use capabilities. This positions Claude statistically close to OpenAI's GPT-5.4 leader at around 47%, amid fierce competition among frontier AI labs chasing breakthroughs on Epoch AI's unpublished, PhD-level problems. Trader sentiment hinges on Claude 5's rumored Q2 rollout, potentially surpassing key thresholds before June 30, though timelines often slip and new evaluations could recalibrate standings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$59,659End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7, released April 16, 2026, has propelled the model's FrontierMath performance to 43.8% on Tiers 1-4—nearly quadrupling prior scores from under 3% at benchmark launch—signaling accelerated gains in advanced mathematical reasoning via enhanced chain-of-thought and tool-use capabilities. This positions Claude statistically close to OpenAI's GPT-5.4 leader at around 47%, amid fierce competition among frontier AI labs chasing breakthroughs on Epoch AI's unpublished, PhD-level problems. Trader sentiment hinges on Claude 5's rumored Q2 rollout, potentially surpassing key thresholds before June 30, though timelines often slip and new evaluations could recalibrate standings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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