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Politics·Primaries

Alabama Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Alabama Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Alabama Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Kyle Sweetser 81%

Dakarai Larriett 16%

Mark Wheeler 4.7%

Lamont Lavender <1%

Polymarket

$18,413 Vol.

Kyle Sweetser 81%

Dakarai Larriett 16%

Mark Wheeler 4.7%

Lamont Lavender <1%

Polymarket

$18,413 Vol.

Kyle Sweetser

$11,517 Vol.

81%

Dakarai Larriett

$2,851 Vol.

16%

Mark Wheeler

$2,403 Vol.

5%

Lamont Lavender

$1,642 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. If no 2026 Alabama Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Kyle Sweetser leads trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability for Alabama's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on May 19, driven by his standout national visibility from a 2024 DNC speech as a former Republican Trump voter endorsing Kamala Harris, bolstered by January bipartisan endorsements from Democratic legislative leaders and ex-Republicans. Dakarai Larriett holds 15.5% on momentum from April endorsements by former state Rep. Patricia Todd—the state's first openly LGBTQ legislator—and Birmingham officials, plus grassroots outreach during early voting. Mark Wheeler trails at 4.7% amid limited polling or fundraising data in this low-turnout contest; a June 16 runoff looms if no candidate exceeds 50%. Markets reflect skin-in-the-game bets on name recognition over challengers in deep-red Alabama.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Alabama.

If no 2026 Alabama Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$18,413
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. If no 2026 Alabama Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. If no 2026 Alabama Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Kyle Sweetser leads trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability for Alabama's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on May 19, driven by his standout national visibility from a 2024 DNC speech as a former Republican Trump voter endorsing Kamala Harris, bolstered by January bipartisan endorsements from Democratic legislative leaders and ex-Republicans. Dakarai Larriett holds 15.5% on momentum from April endorsements by former state Rep. Patricia Todd—the state's first openly LGBTQ legislator—and Birmingham officials, plus grassroots outreach during early voting. Mark Wheeler trails at 4.7% amid limited polling or fundraising data in this low-turnout contest; a June 16 runoff looms if no candidate exceeds 50%. Markets reflect skin-in-the-game bets on name recognition over challengers in deep-red Alabama.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Alabama.

If no 2026 Alabama Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$18,413
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. If no 2026 Alabama Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Alabama Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kyle Sweetser" at 81%, followed by "Dakarai Larriett" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Alabama Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $18.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Alabama Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Alabama Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Kyle Sweetser" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dakarai Larriett" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Alabama Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.