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icon for 2026 Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election: Margin of Victory

2026 Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election: Margin of Victory

icon for 2026 Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election: Margin of Victory

2026 Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election: Margin of Victory

Park Soo-hyun <10% 99.4%

Park Soo-hyun 20-30% <1%

Park Soo-hyun 10-20% <1%

Park Soo-hyun 30%+ <1%

Polymarket

$9,478 Vol.

Park Soo-hyun <10% 99.4%

Park Soo-hyun 20-30% <1%

Park Soo-hyun 10-20% <1%

Park Soo-hyun 30%+ <1%

Polymarket

$9,478 Vol.

Park Soo-hyun 30%+

$1,220 Vol.

<1%

Park Soo-hyun 20-30%

$949 Vol.

1%

Park Soo-hyun 10-20%

$3,007 Vol.

1%

Park Soo-hyun <10%

$2,680 Vol.

99%

The 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026, to elect the next governor of Chungcheongnam. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/). If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Park Soo-hyun of the Democratic Party of Korea secured the nomination in April and maintained frontrunner status against incumbent People Power Party candidate Kim Tae-heum in the June 3, 2026, Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election. Recent exit polls projected Park at 52.1% versus Kim at 47.9%, reflecting a narrow race after earlier polling leads narrowed substantially by mid-May. Traders price a sub-10% margin of victory at 99.5% because the contest remains closely contested in this Democratic-leaning province, with no major late developments widening the gap. A decisive final tally confirming Park's win by fewer than 10 points would resolve the market, while an unexpectedly large swing from vote counting or turnout shifts in key districts could still alter the outcome.

The 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026, to elect the next governor of Chungcheongnam.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$9,478
End Date
Jun 3, 2026
Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
The 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026, to elect the next governor of Chungcheongnam. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/). If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026, to elect the next governor of Chungcheongnam. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/). If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Park Soo-hyun of the Democratic Party of Korea secured the nomination in April and maintained frontrunner status against incumbent People Power Party candidate Kim Tae-heum in the June 3, 2026, Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election. Recent exit polls projected Park at 52.1% versus Kim at 47.9%, reflecting a narrow race after earlier polling leads narrowed substantially by mid-May. Traders price a sub-10% margin of victory at 99.5% because the contest remains closely contested in this Democratic-leaning province, with no major late developments widening the gap. A decisive final tally confirming Park's win by fewer than 10 points would resolve the market, while an unexpectedly large swing from vote counting or turnout shifts in key districts could still alter the outcome.

The 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026, to elect the next governor of Chungcheongnam.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$9,478
End Date
Jun 3, 2026
Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
The 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026, to elect the next governor of Chungcheongnam. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/). If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election: Margin of Victory" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Park Soo-hyun <10%" at 99%, followed by "Park Soo-hyun 20-30%" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2026 Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election: Margin of Victory" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2026 Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election: Margin of Victory," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election: Margin of Victory" is "Park Soo-hyun <10%" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Park Soo-hyun 20-30%" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election: Margin of Victory" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.