Since late January 2026, when China's Ministry of National Defense announced an investigation into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia for suspected serious violations of discipline and law, no formal charges, trial, or sentencing have been publicly disclosed, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% for "No" before 2027. This reflects the opaque pace of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Commission for Discipline Inspection probes, where high-level People's Liberation Army cases often extend 6-18 months amid Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption drive targeting senior military figures like Liu Zhenli. Zhang's continued absence from events such as the March CPPCC session signals removal from duties, but without court proceedings or state media conviction reports in the past three months, traders price low odds of a pre-2027 prison sentence absent accelerated legal action.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$108,623 Vol.
$108,623 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$108,623 Vol.
$108,623 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Since late January 2026, when China's Ministry of National Defense announced an investigation into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia for suspected serious violations of discipline and law, no formal charges, trial, or sentencing have been publicly disclosed, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% for "No" before 2027. This reflects the opaque pace of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Commission for Discipline Inspection probes, where high-level People's Liberation Army cases often extend 6-18 months amid Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption drive targeting senior military figures like Liu Zhenli. Zhang's continued absence from events such as the March CPPCC session signals removal from duties, but without court proceedings or state media conviction reports in the past three months, traders price low odds of a pre-2027 prison sentence absent accelerated legal action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Volumen
$108,623Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Since late January 2026, when China's Ministry of National Defense announced an investigation into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia for suspected serious violations of discipline and law, no formal charges, trial, or sentencing have been publicly disclosed, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% for "No" before 2027. This reflects the opaque pace of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Commission for Discipline Inspection probes, where high-level People's Liberation Army cases often extend 6-18 months amid Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption drive targeting senior military figures like Liu Zhenli. Zhang's continued absence from events such as the March CPPCC session signals removal from duties, but without court proceedings or state media conviction reports in the past three months, traders price low odds of a pre-2027 prison sentence absent accelerated legal action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$108,623Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Since late January 2026, when China's Ministry of National Defense announced an investigation into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia for suspected serious violations of discipline and law, no formal charges, trial, or sentencing have been publicly disclosed, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% for "No" before 2027. This reflects the opaque pace of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Commission for Discipline Inspection probes, where high-level People's Liberation Army cases often extend 6-18 months amid Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption drive targeting senior military figures like Liu Zhenli. Zhang's continued absence from events such as the March CPPCC session signals removal from duties, but without court proceedings or state media conviction reports in the past three months, traders price low odds of a pre-2027 prison sentence absent accelerated legal action.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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