Recent court rulings have already removed Özgür Özel from CHP leadership through annulment of the 2023 party congress, with former chairman Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu reinstated in late May 2026. This judicial outcome achieved the government's primary objective of weakening the main opposition without requiring detention, as Özel was evicted from party headquarters amid protests but faced no formal arrest. Ongoing investigations into party congress irregularities and earlier statements have not escalated to custody in the subsequent weeks. With the June 30 resolution deadline only days away, traders assign 97.6% probability to "No" based on the absence of imminent enforcement actions and the preference for non-custodial measures. Late developments such as new charges or rapid procedural shifts could still alter the outcome before the cutoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoÖzgür Özel arrested by June 30?
Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?
$29,086 Vol.
$29,086 Vol.
30 jun 2026
$29,086 Vol.
$29,086 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent court rulings have already removed Özgür Özel from CHP leadership through annulment of the 2023 party congress, with former chairman Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu reinstated in late May 2026. This judicial outcome achieved the government's primary objective of weakening the main opposition without requiring detention, as Özel was evicted from party headquarters amid protests but faced no formal arrest. Ongoing investigations into party congress irregularities and earlier statements have not escalated to custody in the subsequent weeks. With the June 30 resolution deadline only days away, traders assign 97.6% probability to "No" based on the absence of imminent enforcement actions and the preference for non-custodial measures. Late developments such as new charges or rapid procedural shifts could still alter the outcome before the cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ET
Volumen
$29,086Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent court rulings have already removed Özgür Özel from CHP leadership through annulment of the 2023 party congress, with former chairman Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu reinstated in late May 2026. This judicial outcome achieved the government's primary objective of weakening the main opposition without requiring detention, as Özel was evicted from party headquarters amid protests but faced no formal arrest. Ongoing investigations into party congress irregularities and earlier statements have not escalated to custody in the subsequent weeks. With the June 30 resolution deadline only days away, traders assign 97.6% probability to "No" based on the absence of imminent enforcement actions and the preference for non-custodial measures. Late developments such as new charges or rapid procedural shifts could still alter the outcome before the cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$29,086Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent court rulings have already removed Özgür Özel from CHP leadership through annulment of the 2023 party congress, with former chairman Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu reinstated in late May 2026. This judicial outcome achieved the government's primary objective of weakening the main opposition without requiring detention, as Özel was evicted from party headquarters amid protests but faced no formal arrest. Ongoing investigations into party congress irregularities and earlier statements have not escalated to custody in the subsequent weeks. With the June 30 resolution deadline only days away, traders assign 97.6% probability to "No" based on the absence of imminent enforcement actions and the preference for non-custodial measures. Late developments such as new charges or rapid procedural shifts could still alter the outcome before the cutoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes