President Trump's explicit threats to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board if he does not vacate his seat after the chair term ends May 15, 2026—coupled with Powell's April 29 announcement to remain until 2028 amid DOJ scrutiny of Fed renovations—have intensified debates over central bank independence and monetary policy control. Traders assess the legal hurdles to dismissal under the Federal Reserve Act against Trump's drive for aggressive rate cuts via nominee Kevin Warsh, following the FOMC's decision to hold the fed funds rate steady despite cooling April CPI inflation. Key catalysts include Warsh's Senate confirmation and any post-May 15 executive actions, potentially shifting market-implied rate paths and 10-year Treasury yields.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Intentará Trump despedir a Powell como miembro de la Junta de la Fed para...?
¿Intentará Trump despedir a Powell como miembro de la Junta de la Fed para...?
$13,856 Vol.
31 dic 2026
June 30
12%
31 de diciembre
20%
$13,856 Vol.
June 30
$6,776 Vol.
12%
31 de diciembre
$7,080 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's explicit threats to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board if he does not vacate his seat after the chair term ends May 15, 2026—coupled with Powell's April 29 announcement to remain until 2028 amid DOJ scrutiny of Fed renovations—have intensified debates over central bank independence and monetary policy control. Traders assess the legal hurdles to dismissal under the Federal Reserve Act against Trump's drive for aggressive rate cuts via nominee Kevin Warsh, following the FOMC's decision to hold the fed funds rate steady despite cooling April CPI inflation. Key catalysts include Warsh's Senate confirmation and any post-May 15 executive actions, potentially shifting market-implied rate paths and 10-year Treasury yields.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Volumen
$13,856Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's explicit threats to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board if he does not vacate his seat after the chair term ends May 15, 2026—coupled with Powell's April 29 announcement to remain until 2028 amid DOJ scrutiny of Fed renovations—have intensified debates over central bank independence and monetary policy control. Traders assess the legal hurdles to dismissal under the Federal Reserve Act against Trump's drive for aggressive rate cuts via nominee Kevin Warsh, following the FOMC's decision to hold the fed funds rate steady despite cooling April CPI inflation. Key catalysts include Warsh's Senate confirmation and any post-May 15 executive actions, potentially shifting market-implied rate paths and 10-year Treasury yields.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$13,856Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's explicit threats to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board if he does not vacate his seat after the chair term ends May 15, 2026—coupled with Powell's April 29 announcement to remain until 2028 amid DOJ scrutiny of Fed renovations—have intensified debates over central bank independence and monetary policy control. Traders assess the legal hurdles to dismissal under the Federal Reserve Act against Trump's drive for aggressive rate cuts via nominee Kevin Warsh, following the FOMC's decision to hold the fed funds rate steady despite cooling April CPI inflation. Key catalysts include Warsh's Senate confirmation and any post-May 15 executive actions, potentially shifting market-implied rate paths and 10-year Treasury yields.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes