Trader consensus prices a U.S. invasion of Colombia in 2026 at just 5%, reflecting de-escalation after early-year rhetoric. President Trump's January threats of military operations targeting drug networks prompted Colombian President Petro to warn of armed resistance and heighten border security, but a February 3 White House meeting eased tensions, with both leaders pledging joint counternarcotics efforts—including a February 5 strike killing guerrillas—and Trump praising Petro. As a major non-NATO ally, Colombia maintains deep U.S. security ties, with no troop deployments, sanctions, or casus belli since. Recent U.S. probes into Petro's alleged drug links and pre-election violence ahead of Colombia's May presidential vote have not escalated to invasion risks, underscoring diplomatic cooperation over military action.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$25,514 Vol.
$25,514 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$25,514 Vol.
$25,514 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices a U.S. invasion of Colombia in 2026 at just 5%, reflecting de-escalation after early-year rhetoric. President Trump's January threats of military operations targeting drug networks prompted Colombian President Petro to warn of armed resistance and heighten border security, but a February 3 White House meeting eased tensions, with both leaders pledging joint counternarcotics efforts—including a February 5 strike killing guerrillas—and Trump praising Petro. As a major non-NATO ally, Colombia maintains deep U.S. security ties, with no troop deployments, sanctions, or casus belli since. Recent U.S. probes into Petro's alleged drug links and pre-election violence ahead of Colombia's May presidential vote have not escalated to invasion risks, underscoring diplomatic cooperation over military action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
Volumen
$25,514Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices a U.S. invasion of Colombia in 2026 at just 5%, reflecting de-escalation after early-year rhetoric. President Trump's January threats of military operations targeting drug networks prompted Colombian President Petro to warn of armed resistance and heighten border security, but a February 3 White House meeting eased tensions, with both leaders pledging joint counternarcotics efforts—including a February 5 strike killing guerrillas—and Trump praising Petro. As a major non-NATO ally, Colombia maintains deep U.S. security ties, with no troop deployments, sanctions, or casus belli since. Recent U.S. probes into Petro's alleged drug links and pre-election violence ahead of Colombia's May presidential vote have not escalated to invasion risks, underscoring diplomatic cooperation over military action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$25,514Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a U.S. invasion of Colombia in 2026 at just 5%, reflecting de-escalation after early-year rhetoric. President Trump's January threats of military operations targeting drug networks prompted Colombian President Petro to warn of armed resistance and heighten border security, but a February 3 White House meeting eased tensions, with both leaders pledging joint counternarcotics efforts—including a February 5 strike killing guerrillas—and Trump praising Petro. As a major non-NATO ally, Colombia maintains deep U.S. security ties, with no troop deployments, sanctions, or casus belli since. Recent U.S. probes into Petro's alleged drug links and pre-election violence ahead of Colombia's May presidential vote have not escalated to invasion risks, underscoring diplomatic cooperation over military action.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes