**Canada's population fell by roughly 102,000 people (-0.2%) in 2025, marking the first annual decline on record and driven by large net outflows of non-permanent residents following federal caps on temporary residents.** Statistics Canada data released in March 2026 confirmed consecutive quarterly drops in the second half of 2025, the steepest single-quarter decline since comparable records began. The 2025–2027 and subsequent 2026–2028 Immigration Levels Plans reduced permanent resident targets to 380,000 annually while tightening temporary resident admissions (international students and workers) to bring their share below 5% of the population. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicate flat or near-zero growth for 2026, implying a smaller net decline than 2025. Trader consensus favoring "No" (58.5%) reflects this policy-driven normalization, with the largest recorded annual drop already observed in 2025.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Será la caída de la población de Canadá en 2026 la más grande registrada?
¿Será la caída de la población de Canadá en 2026 la más grande registrada?
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 abr 2027
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 abr 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Canada's population fell by roughly 102,000 people (-0.2%) in 2025, marking the first annual decline on record and driven by large net outflows of non-permanent residents following federal caps on temporary residents.** Statistics Canada data released in March 2026 confirmed consecutive quarterly drops in the second half of 2025, the steepest single-quarter decline since comparable records began. The 2025–2027 and subsequent 2026–2028 Immigration Levels Plans reduced permanent resident targets to 380,000 annually while tightening temporary resident admissions (international students and workers) to bring their share below 5% of the population. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicate flat or near-zero growth for 2026, implying a smaller net decline than 2025. Trader consensus favoring "No" (58.5%) reflects this policy-driven normalization, with the largest recorded annual drop already observed in 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
Volumen
$1,622Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Canada's population fell by roughly 102,000 people (-0.2%) in 2025, marking the first annual decline on record and driven by large net outflows of non-permanent residents following federal caps on temporary residents.** Statistics Canada data released in March 2026 confirmed consecutive quarterly drops in the second half of 2025, the steepest single-quarter decline since comparable records began. The 2025–2027 and subsequent 2026–2028 Immigration Levels Plans reduced permanent resident targets to 380,000 annually while tightening temporary resident admissions (international students and workers) to bring their share below 5% of the population. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicate flat or near-zero growth for 2026, implying a smaller net decline than 2025. Trader consensus favoring "No" (58.5%) reflects this policy-driven normalization, with the largest recorded annual drop already observed in 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,622Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Canada's population fell by roughly 102,000 people (-0.2%) in 2025, marking the first annual decline on record and driven by large net outflows of non-permanent residents following federal caps on temporary residents.** Statistics Canada data released in March 2026 confirmed consecutive quarterly drops in the second half of 2025, the steepest single-quarter decline since comparable records began. The 2025–2027 and subsequent 2026–2028 Immigration Levels Plans reduced permanent resident targets to 380,000 annually while tightening temporary resident admissions (international students and workers) to bring their share below 5% of the population. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicate flat or near-zero growth for 2026, implying a smaller net decline than 2025. Trader consensus favoring "No" (58.5%) reflects this policy-driven normalization, with the largest recorded annual drop already observed in 2025.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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