President Trump's reciprocal trade agenda, enforced through tariffs, has driven bilateral agreements like the historic U.S.-India deal announced February 2, 2026, reducing mutual tariffs, and the U.S.-Indonesia pact finalized February 19, alongside earlier pacts with Argentina, El Salvador, Ecuador, and Guatemala in late 2025. Trader consensus favors Canada and Mexico—implied probabilities near 40%—amid USMCA review negotiations, with USTR scheduling Mexico's first bilateral round the week of May 4. The USTR's March 2026 Trade Policy Agenda targets further reciprocal pacts and enforcement, though a February Supreme Court ruling limited some tariff authorities. Year-end deadlines and potential summits could spur additional deals before 2027.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Con qué países hará Trump nuevos acuerdos comerciales antes de 2027?
¿Con qué países hará Trump nuevos acuerdos comerciales antes de 2027?
$260,463 Vol.
Canadá
37%
Corea del Sur
27%
Reino Unido
26%
India
23%
Israel
23%
Japón
21%
México
34%
Rusia
18%
Argentina
17%
Taiwán
15%
Vietnam
15%
Pakistán
14%
Sudáfrica
14%
Brasil
18%
Indonesia
13%
Australia
12%
Unión Europea
11%
$260,463 Vol.
Canadá
37%
Corea del Sur
27%
Reino Unido
26%
India
23%
Israel
23%
Japón
21%
México
34%
Rusia
18%
Argentina
17%
Taiwán
15%
Vietnam
15%
Pakistán
14%
Sudáfrica
14%
Brasil
18%
Indonesia
13%
Australia
12%
Unión Europea
11%
This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's reciprocal trade agenda, enforced through tariffs, has driven bilateral agreements like the historic U.S.-India deal announced February 2, 2026, reducing mutual tariffs, and the U.S.-Indonesia pact finalized February 19, alongside earlier pacts with Argentina, El Salvador, Ecuador, and Guatemala in late 2025. Trader consensus favors Canada and Mexico—implied probabilities near 40%—amid USMCA review negotiations, with USTR scheduling Mexico's first bilateral round the week of May 4. The USTR's March 2026 Trade Policy Agenda targets further reciprocal pacts and enforcement, though a February Supreme Court ruling limited some tariff authorities. Year-end deadlines and potential summits could spur additional deals before 2027.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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