US and Israel launched major airstrikes against Iran on February 28, 2026, killing Supreme Leader Khamenei and targeting nuclear facilities, initiating the ongoing 2026 Iran war with subsequent attacks on military sites and energy infrastructure like South Pars. A US naval blockade enforced by CENTCOM persists, while a ceasefire expired April 22 without renewal amid stalled diplomacy. As of April 29, CENTCOM readied a "short and powerful" strike wave to break negotiations, with Israel signaling readiness pending US green light from President Trump-Netanyahu talks. Gulf states including Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, and Bahrain urge escalation but have not conducted direct military action. Iranian retaliation threats, ally evacuations by Russia and China, and proxy escalations drive trader assessments of further involvement before the April 30 deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué países llevarán a cabo una acción militar contra Irán antes del 30 de abril?
¿Qué países llevarán a cabo una acción militar contra Irán antes del 30 de abril?
$3,721,443 Vol.
30 abr 2026
EAU
1%
Alemania
<1%
Bahréin
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabia Saudita
<1%
Kuwait
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Turquía
<1%
Francia
<1%
Cualquier país de la U.E.
<1%
Reino Unido
<1%
Canadá
<1%
Omán
<1%
$3,721,443 Vol.
EAU
$1,890,929 Vol.
1%
Alemania
$134,526 Vol.
<1%
Bahréin
$57,491 Vol.
<1%
Qatar
$58,680 Vol.
<1%
Arabia Saudita
$613,325 Vol.
<1%
Kuwait
$169,286 Vol.
<1%
Jordania
$34,803 Vol.
<1%
Turquía
$89,735 Vol.
<1%
Francia
$211,169 Vol.
<1%
Cualquier país de la U.E.
$89,901 Vol.
<1%
Reino Unido
$289,542 Vol.
<1%
Canadá
$47,652 Vol.
<1%
Omán
$34,403 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israel launched major airstrikes against Iran on February 28, 2026, killing Supreme Leader Khamenei and targeting nuclear facilities, initiating the ongoing 2026 Iran war with subsequent attacks on military sites and energy infrastructure like South Pars. A US naval blockade enforced by CENTCOM persists, while a ceasefire expired April 22 without renewal amid stalled diplomacy. As of April 29, CENTCOM readied a "short and powerful" strike wave to break negotiations, with Israel signaling readiness pending US green light from President Trump-Netanyahu talks. Gulf states including Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, and Bahrain urge escalation but have not conducted direct military action. Iranian retaliation threats, ally evacuations by Russia and China, and proxy escalations drive trader assessments of further involvement before the April 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
Volumen
$3,721,443Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israel launched major airstrikes against Iran on February 28, 2026, killing Supreme Leader Khamenei and targeting nuclear facilities, initiating the ongoing 2026 Iran war with subsequent attacks on military sites and energy infrastructure like South Pars. A US naval blockade enforced by CENTCOM persists, while a ceasefire expired April 22 without renewal amid stalled diplomacy. As of April 29, CENTCOM readied a "short and powerful" strike wave to break negotiations, with Israel signaling readiness pending US green light from President Trump-Netanyahu talks. Gulf states including Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, and Bahrain urge escalation but have not conducted direct military action. Iranian retaliation threats, ally evacuations by Russia and China, and proxy escalations drive trader assessments of further involvement before the April 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$3,721,443Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israel launched major airstrikes against Iran on February 28, 2026, killing Supreme Leader Khamenei and targeting nuclear facilities, initiating the ongoing 2026 Iran war with subsequent attacks on military sites and energy infrastructure like South Pars. A US naval blockade enforced by CENTCOM persists, while a ceasefire expired April 22 without renewal amid stalled diplomacy. As of April 29, CENTCOM readied a "short and powerful" strike wave to break negotiations, with Israel signaling readiness pending US green light from President Trump-Netanyahu talks. Gulf states including Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, and Bahrain urge escalation but have not conducted direct military action. Iranian retaliation threats, ally evacuations by Russia and China, and proxy escalations drive trader assessments of further involvement before the April 30 deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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