Anthropic holds a commanding 91.5% market-implied probability of fielding the top coding AI model by end of June, driven by the sustained dominance of its Claude Opus 4.8 and Sonnet 4.6 large language models across key benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified, where recent iterations have posted leading scores above 82% alongside strong agentic performance on complex, multi-file tasks. Developers consistently favor these models for instruction following, long-context reasoning in large codebases, and reliable tool use in production workflows, reinforced by the May 28 release of Opus 4.8 with enhanced honesty, dynamic subagent orchestration, and effort controls. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 variants and others trail significantly in current leaderboards and user preference data. A late-month breakthrough from competitors could narrow the gap, though no such announcements are imminent before the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué empresa tiene el mejor modelo de Coding AI a finales de junio?
¿Qué empresa tiene el mejor modelo de Coding AI a finales de junio?
Anthropic 92%
OpenAI 4.9%
Z.ai 3.2%
Google 2.1%
$16,858 Vol.
$16,858 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Anthropic
92%
OpenAI
5%
Z.ai
3%
2%
xAI
1%
Microsoft
1%
Baidu
<1%
Meituan
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meta
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 92%
OpenAI 4.9%
Z.ai 3.2%
Google 2.1%
$16,858 Vol.
$16,858 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Anthropic
$2,542 Vol.
92%
OpenAI
$1,440 Vol.
5%
Z.ai
$1,571 Vol.
3%
$1,310 Vol.
2%
xAI
$2,521 Vol.
1%
Microsoft
$1,298 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$742 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$740 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$812 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$763 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$636 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$844 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$260 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$747 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$633 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic holds a commanding 91.5% market-implied probability of fielding the top coding AI model by end of June, driven by the sustained dominance of its Claude Opus 4.8 and Sonnet 4.6 large language models across key benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified, where recent iterations have posted leading scores above 82% alongside strong agentic performance on complex, multi-file tasks. Developers consistently favor these models for instruction following, long-context reasoning in large codebases, and reliable tool use in production workflows, reinforced by the May 28 release of Opus 4.8 with enhanced honesty, dynamic subagent orchestration, and effort controls. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 variants and others trail significantly in current leaderboards and user preference data. A late-month breakthrough from competitors could narrow the gap, though no such announcements are imminent before the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado abierto: May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volumen
$16,858Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic holds a commanding 91.5% market-implied probability of fielding the top coding AI model by end of June, driven by the sustained dominance of its Claude Opus 4.8 and Sonnet 4.6 large language models across key benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified, where recent iterations have posted leading scores above 82% alongside strong agentic performance on complex, multi-file tasks. Developers consistently favor these models for instruction following, long-context reasoning in large codebases, and reliable tool use in production workflows, reinforced by the May 28 release of Opus 4.8 with enhanced honesty, dynamic subagent orchestration, and effort controls. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 variants and others trail significantly in current leaderboards and user preference data. A late-month breakthrough from competitors could narrow the gap, though no such announcements are imminent before the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$16,858Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds a commanding 91.5% market-implied probability of fielding the top coding AI model by end of June, driven by the sustained dominance of its Claude Opus 4.8 and Sonnet 4.6 large language models across key benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified, where recent iterations have posted leading scores above 82% alongside strong agentic performance on complex, multi-file tasks. Developers consistently favor these models for instruction following, long-context reasoning in large codebases, and reliable tool use in production workflows, reinforced by the May 28 release of Opus 4.8 with enhanced honesty, dynamic subagent orchestration, and effort controls. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 variants and others trail significantly in current leaderboards and user preference data. A late-month breakthrough from competitors could narrow the gap, though no such announcements are imminent before the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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