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Tech·IA

¿El próximo modelo de Google Gemini Pro lanzado el...?

icon for ¿El próximo modelo de Google Gemini Pro lanzado el...?
Tech·IA

¿El próximo modelo de Google Gemini Pro lanzado el...?

No se lanzará antes del 30 de junio 20.6%

23 de junio 14%

16 de junio 10%

18 de junio 10%

Polymarket

$64,267 Vol.

No se lanzará antes del 30 de junio 20.6%

23 de junio 14%

16 de junio 10%

18 de junio 10%

Polymarket

$64,267 Vol.

El 2 de junio o antes

$646 Vol.

<1%

3 de junio

$2,518 Vol.

<1%

4 de junio

$8,698 Vol.

<1%

5 de junio

$1,742 Vol.

1%

6 de junio

$1,416 Vol.

<1%

7 de junio

$1,211 Vol.

1%

8 de junio

$1,038 Vol.

1%

9 de junio

$4,606 Vol.

7%

10 de junio

$1,141 Vol.

1%

11 de junio

$1,400 Vol.

7%

12 de junio

$1,464 Vol.

3%

13 de junio

$2,239 Vol.

1%

14 de junio

$2,080 Vol.

<1%

15 de junio

$1,152 Vol.

1%

16 de junio

$2,137 Vol.

10%

17 de junio

$2,044 Vol.

8%

18 de junio

$1,611 Vol.

10%

19 de junio

$1,755 Vol.

1%

20 de junio

$1,047 Vol.

1%

21 de junio

$909 Vol.

<1%

22 de junio

$1,180 Vol.

1%

23 de junio

$2,556 Vol.

14%

24 de junio

$1,775 Vol.

8%

25 de junio

$997 Vol.

<1%

26 de junio

$2,426 Vol.

7%

27 de junio

$1,486 Vol.

1%

28 de junio

$906 Vol.

<1%

29 de junio

$1,104 Vol.

<1%

30 de junio

$2,356 Vol.

7%

No se lanzará antes del 30 de junio

$8,628 Vol.

21%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's May 19 I/O 2026 keynote, where CEO Sundar Pichai confirmed Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive the following month after launching 3.5 Flash, drives the current odds on the next Pro model release. Traders see a narrow window for a mid-to-late June drop amid ongoing internal testing and safety refinements, yet the 20.6% probability assigned to no release by June 30 reflects typical timeline slippage and the absence of a firm date. This follows the February debut of Gemini 3.1 Pro and positions the update against competing large language models emphasizing agentic reasoning and multimodal performance. Key near-term catalysts include any developer previews or benchmark leaks that could shift sentiment toward specific dates in the tightly contested June field.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$64,267
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado propuesto: No

Ventana de disputas

Final

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's May 19 I/O 2026 keynote, where CEO Sundar Pichai confirmed Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive the following month after launching 3.5 Flash, drives the current odds on the next Pro model release. Traders see a narrow window for a mid-to-late June drop amid ongoing internal testing and safety refinements, yet the 20.6% probability assigned to no release by June 30 reflects typical timeline slippage and the absence of a firm date. This follows the February debut of Gemini 3.1 Pro and positions the update against competing large language models emphasizing agentic reasoning and multimodal performance. Key near-term catalysts include any developer previews or benchmark leaks that could shift sentiment toward specific dates in the tightly contested June field.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$64,267
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado propuesto: No

Ventana de disputas

Final

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿El próximo modelo de Google Gemini Pro lanzado el...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 30 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "No se lanzará antes del 30 de junio" con 21%, seguido de "23 de junio" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 21¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 21% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿El próximo modelo de Google Gemini Pro lanzado el...?" ha generado $64.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿El próximo modelo de Google Gemini Pro lanzado el...?", explora los 30 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿El próximo modelo de Google Gemini Pro lanzado el...?" es "No se lanzará antes del 30 de junio" con 21%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 21% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "23 de junio" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿El próximo modelo de Google Gemini Pro lanzado el...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.