Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced at 100% implied probability for Anthropic as having the best coding AI model by end of April 2026, driven by Claude Opus 4.7's commanding lead on key benchmarks like SWE-bench (82%+ verified scores) and Kilo (81.4%), surpassing rivals in complex software engineering tasks, agentic code generation, and real-world orchestration. Recent April releases and evaluations, including high-reasoning agent optimizations, solidified this edge over OpenAI's GPT-5.x Codex (strong in execution but trailing in deep planning) and Chinese models like DeepSeek V3.2 or Kimi K2.6. While product integrations like Claude Code apps amplify practical adoption, a last-minute superior benchmark from competitors or benchmark reevaluation could theoretically shift resolution, though traders see minimal risk given the proximity to deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAnthropic 100.0%
xAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
Baidu <1%
$272,139 Vol.
$272,139 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Anthropic
100%
xAI
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Baidu
<1%
OpenAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Anthropic 100.0%
xAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
Baidu <1%
$272,139 Vol.
$272,139 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Anthropic
$50,059 Vol.
100%
xAI
$10,586 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$10,834 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$10,999 Vol.
<1%
OpenAI
$52,663 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$15,388 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$26,482 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$30,113 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$9,907 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$9,170 Vol.
<1%
$12,506 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$10,425 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$23,007 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced at 100% implied probability for Anthropic as having the best coding AI model by end of April 2026, driven by Claude Opus 4.7's commanding lead on key benchmarks like SWE-bench (82%+ verified scores) and Kilo (81.4%), surpassing rivals in complex software engineering tasks, agentic code generation, and real-world orchestration. Recent April releases and evaluations, including high-reasoning agent optimizations, solidified this edge over OpenAI's GPT-5.x Codex (strong in execution but trailing in deep planning) and Chinese models like DeepSeek V3.2 or Kimi K2.6. While product integrations like Claude Code apps amplify practical adoption, a last-minute superior benchmark from competitors or benchmark reevaluation could theoretically shift resolution, though traders see minimal risk given the proximity to deadline.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
Volumen
$272,139Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced at 100% implied probability for Anthropic as having the best coding AI model by end of April 2026, driven by Claude Opus 4.7's commanding lead on key benchmarks like SWE-bench (82%+ verified scores) and Kilo (81.4%), surpassing rivals in complex software engineering tasks, agentic code generation, and real-world orchestration. Recent April releases and evaluations, including high-reasoning agent optimizations, solidified this edge over OpenAI's GPT-5.x Codex (strong in execution but trailing in deep planning) and Chinese models like DeepSeek V3.2 or Kimi K2.6. While product integrations like Claude Code apps amplify practical adoption, a last-minute superior benchmark from competitors or benchmark reevaluation could theoretically shift resolution, though traders see minimal risk given the proximity to deadline.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$272,139Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced at 100% implied probability for Anthropic as having the best coding AI model by end of April 2026, driven by Claude Opus 4.7's commanding lead on key benchmarks like SWE-bench (82%+ verified scores) and Kilo (81.4%), surpassing rivals in complex software engineering tasks, agentic code generation, and real-world orchestration. Recent April releases and evaluations, including high-reasoning agent optimizations, solidified this edge over OpenAI's GPT-5.x Codex (strong in execution but trailing in deep planning) and Chinese models like DeepSeek V3.2 or Kimi K2.6. While product integrations like Claude Code apps amplify practical adoption, a last-minute superior benchmark from competitors or benchmark reevaluation could theoretically shift resolution, though traders see minimal risk given the proximity to deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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