Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell confirmed on April 29 during his final FOMC press conference that he will step down from the chairmanship at the end of his term on May 15, 2026, while planning to remain on the Board of Governors until 2028 amid legal pressures. This direct statement from Powell, coupled with President Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor—awaiting full Senate confirmation—has driven trader consensus to price a 95% implied probability of departure in the May 15–22 window. Historical precedent shows chairs often vacate promptly upon term expiration once a replacement is lined up, barring delays. Realistic challenges include prolonged Senate holds on Warsh's confirmation or unforeseen legal developments forcing an acting extension, though Powell emphasized his intent to exit the top role on schedule.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 95.3%
May 23–29 1.3%
Before May 15 1.0%
After July 3 1.0%
$71,965 Vol.
$71,965 Vol.
3 jul 2026
Before May 15
1%
May 15–22
95%
May 23–29
1%
May 30–June 5
1%
June 6–12
<1%
June 13–19
<1%
June 20–26
<1%
June 27–July 3
<1%
After July 3
1%
May 15–22 95.3%
May 23–29 1.3%
Before May 15 1.0%
After July 3 1.0%
$71,965 Vol.
$71,965 Vol.
3 jul 2026
Before May 15
$9,385 Vol.
1%
May 15–22
$27,551 Vol.
95%
May 23–29
$4,750 Vol.
1%
May 30–June 5
$4,453 Vol.
1%
June 6–12
$4,669 Vol.
<1%
June 13–19
$4,160 Vol.
<1%
June 20–26
$7,731 Vol.
<1%
June 27–July 3
$2,329 Vol.
<1%
After July 3
$6,936 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell confirmed on April 29 during his final FOMC press conference that he will step down from the chairmanship at the end of his term on May 15, 2026, while planning to remain on the Board of Governors until 2028 amid legal pressures. This direct statement from Powell, coupled with President Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor—awaiting full Senate confirmation—has driven trader consensus to price a 95% implied probability of departure in the May 15–22 window. Historical precedent shows chairs often vacate promptly upon term expiration once a replacement is lined up, barring delays. Realistic challenges include prolonged Senate holds on Warsh's confirmation or unforeseen legal developments forcing an acting extension, though Powell emphasized his intent to exit the top role on schedule.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Volumen
$71,965Fecha de finalización
3 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell confirmed on April 29 during his final FOMC press conference that he will step down from the chairmanship at the end of his term on May 15, 2026, while planning to remain on the Board of Governors until 2028 amid legal pressures. This direct statement from Powell, coupled with President Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor—awaiting full Senate confirmation—has driven trader consensus to price a 95% implied probability of departure in the May 15–22 window. Historical precedent shows chairs often vacate promptly upon term expiration once a replacement is lined up, barring delays. Realistic challenges include prolonged Senate holds on Warsh's confirmation or unforeseen legal developments forcing an acting extension, though Powell emphasized his intent to exit the top role on schedule.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$71,965Fecha de finalización
3 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell confirmed on April 29 during his final FOMC press conference that he will step down from the chairmanship at the end of his term on May 15, 2026, while planning to remain on the Board of Governors until 2028 amid legal pressures. This direct statement from Powell, coupled with President Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor—awaiting full Senate confirmation—has driven trader consensus to price a 95% implied probability of departure in the May 15–22 window. Historical precedent shows chairs often vacate promptly upon term expiration once a replacement is lined up, barring delays. Realistic challenges include prolonged Senate holds on Warsh's confirmation or unforeseen legal developments forcing an acting extension, though Powell emphasized his intent to exit the top role on schedule.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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