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Política·Menciones

What will Trump say in May?

icon for What will Trump say in May?
Política·Menciones

What will Trump say in May?

NUEVO
31 may 2026
Polymarket

$1,896 Vol.

Polymarket

Pope

$479 Vol.

36%

Barack Hussein Obamacare

$5 Vol.

21%

Bunker

$0 Vol.

47%

Egghead

$2 Vol.

31%

Iwo Jima

$1 Vol.

36%

Six Seven

$615 Vol.

35%

Mar-a-Lago

$3 Vol.

77%

Golden Dome

$0 Vol.

51%

Skedaddle

$1 Vol.

45%

ISIS

$5 Vol.

63%

Pizza

$1 Vol.

42%

Prediction Market

$108 Vol.

32%

Discombobulator / Discombobulated

$299 Vol.

41%

Braggadocious

$0 Vol.

23%

Bitcoin

$21 Vol.

32%

Epstein

$75 Vol.

44%

Asshole

$29 Vol.

26%

Buy Dell Computer / Buy a Dell Computer

$0 Vol.

45%

Pulitzer

$0 Vol.

48%

Favorite Chart

$0 Vol.

43%

Big Bang

$1 Vol.

47%

Darth Vader

$2 Vol.

28%

White House Faith Office

$0 Vol.

49%

Christmas

$0 Vol.

30%

Robot

$6 Vol.

41%

Nuke

$241 Vol.

81%

Terminate the Filibuster

$0 Vol.

53%

Cat

$0 Vol.

43%

America Last

$0 Vol.

40%

Neville / Chamberlain

$0 Vol.

26%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus prices high probabilities for President Trump mentioning "Mar-a-Lago" at 95% and "Nuke" at 94% in public speeches or events through May 31, 2026, reflecting his longstanding rally rhetoric and recent escalations in foreign policy rhetoric against Iran, including April 1's Operation Epic Fury address and ongoing Strait of Hormuz tensions amid potential blockade resolutions. The April 25 White House Correspondents' Dinner assassination attempt, from which Trump emerged unscathed with suspect charges filed April 27, has elevated odds for security terms like "Bunker" (78%) and faith-related phrases such as "Pope" (42%) ahead of the May 17 National Mall prayer event to rededicate America "one nation under God." Trump's April 24 criticism of prediction markets suppresses that outcome at 40%, while Federal Reserve Chair Powell's May 15 term end and crypto legislation markups loom as catalysts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volumen
$1,896
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 4:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus prices high probabilities for President Trump mentioning "Mar-a-Lago" at 95% and "Nuke" at 94% in public speeches or events through May 31, 2026, reflecting his longstanding rally rhetoric and recent escalations in foreign policy rhetoric against Iran, including April 1's Operation Epic Fury address and ongoing Strait of Hormuz tensions amid potential blockade resolutions. The April 25 White House Correspondents' Dinner assassination attempt, from which Trump emerged unscathed with suspect charges filed April 27, has elevated odds for security terms like "Bunker" (78%) and faith-related phrases such as "Pope" (42%) ahead of the May 17 National Mall prayer event to rededicate America "one nation under God." Trump's April 24 criticism of prediction markets suppresses that outcome at 40%, while Federal Reserve Chair Powell's May 15 term end and crypto legislation markups loom as catalysts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volumen
$1,896
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 4:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"What will Trump say in May?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 30 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Nuke" con 81%, seguido de "Mar-a-Lago" con 77%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 81¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 81% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"What will Trump say in May?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 27, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "What will Trump say in May?", explora los 30 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "What will Trump say in May?" es "Nuke" con 81%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 81% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Mar-a-Lago" con 77%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "What will Trump say in May?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.