Voters' approval of a constitutional amendment on April 21, 2026, enabling mid-decade redistricting has reshaped Virginia's 6th Congressional District into a Democratic-leaning seat by incorporating college towns like Charlottesville and Albemarle County, prompting race raters like Cook Political Report to shift it from Solid Republican to Likely Democratic. This drives trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 72.5%, reflecting the new map's projected edge for Democrats in the November 3 general election despite incumbent Rep. Ben Cline's unchallenged Republican primary path on August 4. Recent Republican lawsuits, including a Virginia Supreme Court stay on certification upheld as of late April, sustain GOP odds at 25.5% amid uncertainty, with a crowded Democratic primary featuring Beth Macy, Ken Mitchell, Wendy Gooditis, and Tom Perriello. Upcoming court rulings could restore the prior map.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoVA-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
VA-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$75,361 Vol.
$75,361 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
73%
Partido Republicano
27%
$75,361 Vol.
$75,361 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$50,573 Vol.
73%
Partido Republicano
$24,789 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Voters' approval of a constitutional amendment on April 21, 2026, enabling mid-decade redistricting has reshaped Virginia's 6th Congressional District into a Democratic-leaning seat by incorporating college towns like Charlottesville and Albemarle County, prompting race raters like Cook Political Report to shift it from Solid Republican to Likely Democratic. This drives trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 72.5%, reflecting the new map's projected edge for Democrats in the November 3 general election despite incumbent Rep. Ben Cline's unchallenged Republican primary path on August 4. Recent Republican lawsuits, including a Virginia Supreme Court stay on certification upheld as of late April, sustain GOP odds at 25.5% amid uncertainty, with a crowded Democratic primary featuring Beth Macy, Ken Mitchell, Wendy Gooditis, and Tom Perriello. Upcoming court rulings could restore the prior map.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$75,361Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Voters' approval of a constitutional amendment on April 21, 2026, enabling mid-decade redistricting has reshaped Virginia's 6th Congressional District into a Democratic-leaning seat by incorporating college towns like Charlottesville and Albemarle County, prompting race raters like Cook Political Report to shift it from Solid Republican to Likely Democratic. This drives trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 72.5%, reflecting the new map's projected edge for Democrats in the November 3 general election despite incumbent Rep. Ben Cline's unchallenged Republican primary path on August 4. Recent Republican lawsuits, including a Virginia Supreme Court stay on certification upheld as of late April, sustain GOP odds at 25.5% amid uncertainty, with a crowded Democratic primary featuring Beth Macy, Ken Mitchell, Wendy Gooditis, and Tom Perriello. Upcoming court rulings could restore the prior map.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$75,361Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Voters' approval of a constitutional amendment on April 21, 2026, enabling mid-decade redistricting has reshaped Virginia's 6th Congressional District into a Democratic-leaning seat by incorporating college towns like Charlottesville and Albemarle County, prompting race raters like Cook Political Report to shift it from Solid Republican to Likely Democratic. This drives trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 72.5%, reflecting the new map's projected edge for Democrats in the November 3 general election despite incumbent Rep. Ben Cline's unchallenged Republican primary path on August 4. Recent Republican lawsuits, including a Virginia Supreme Court stay on certification upheld as of late April, sustain GOP odds at 25.5% amid uncertainty, with a crowded Democratic primary featuring Beth Macy, Ken Mitchell, Wendy Gooditis, and Tom Perriello. Upcoming court rulings could restore the prior map.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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