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Elecciones·Elecciones Del 4 De Noviembre

Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-16

icon for Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-16
Elecciones·Elecciones Del 4 De Noviembre

Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-16

NUEVO
Polymarket
NUEVO

Partido Demócrata

$2,028 Vol.

93%

Partido Republicano

$686 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Veronica Escobar (D) secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary for Texas's 16th Congressional District, a D+11 Cook PVI seat rated Solid Democratic across forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. She faces the winner of the crowded GOP primary's May 26 runoff between Adam Bauman (23.9% in round one) and Manuel Barraza (18.0%), signaling weak Republican infrastructure in this El Paso-area Hispanic-majority district. Escobar's track record—59.5% in 2024 over repeat challenger Irene Armendariz-Jackson, 63.5% in 2022—bolsters 92.5% trader pricing amid lopsided past margins and GOP fundraising gaps. Recent Escobar statements critiquing Republican farm and DHS bills show no disruptions; only a seismic midterm Republican wave, scandal, or turnout collapse could shift dynamics before the November 3 general election.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$2,714
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Veronica Escobar (D) secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary for Texas's 16th Congressional District, a D+11 Cook PVI seat rated Solid Democratic across forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. She faces the winner of the crowded GOP primary's May 26 runoff between Adam Bauman (23.9% in round one) and Manuel Barraza (18.0%), signaling weak Republican infrastructure in this El Paso-area Hispanic-majority district. Escobar's track record—59.5% in 2024 over repeat challenger Irene Armendariz-Jackson, 63.5% in 2022—bolsters 92.5% trader pricing amid lopsided past margins and GOP fundraising gaps. Recent Escobar statements critiquing Republican farm and DHS bills show no disruptions; only a seismic midterm Republican wave, scandal, or turnout collapse could shift dynamics before the November 3 general election.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$2,714
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-16" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Partido Demócrata" con 93%, seguido de "Partido Republicano" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 93¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-16" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jan 29, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-16", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-16" es "Partido Demócrata" con 93%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Partido Republicano" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-16" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.