Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle's commanding trader consensus at 94.5% in Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District stems from the district's strong Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+19), where Kamala Harris won 67% in 2024, and Boyle's dominant 71.5% victory last cycle. With over $4.9 million cash-on-hand as of late March—dwarfing presumptive Republican nominee Jessica Arriaga's zero—Boyle faces no serious primary challengers ahead of the May 19 closed primary. This safe blue Philadelphia-area seat reflects historical incumbency advantages in high-turnout urban districts. Late shifts could arise from a Democratic primary upset, Boyle scandal, or extreme national Republican wave, though structural barriers remain high.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPA-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
PA-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$17,890 Vol.
$17,890 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
5%
$17,890 Vol.
$17,890 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$2,275 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$15,615 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle's commanding trader consensus at 94.5% in Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District stems from the district's strong Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+19), where Kamala Harris won 67% in 2024, and Boyle's dominant 71.5% victory last cycle. With over $4.9 million cash-on-hand as of late March—dwarfing presumptive Republican nominee Jessica Arriaga's zero—Boyle faces no serious primary challengers ahead of the May 19 closed primary. This safe blue Philadelphia-area seat reflects historical incumbency advantages in high-turnout urban districts. Late shifts could arise from a Democratic primary upset, Boyle scandal, or extreme national Republican wave, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$17,890Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle's commanding trader consensus at 94.5% in Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District stems from the district's strong Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+19), where Kamala Harris won 67% in 2024, and Boyle's dominant 71.5% victory last cycle. With over $4.9 million cash-on-hand as of late March—dwarfing presumptive Republican nominee Jessica Arriaga's zero—Boyle faces no serious primary challengers ahead of the May 19 closed primary. This safe blue Philadelphia-area seat reflects historical incumbency advantages in high-turnout urban districts. Late shifts could arise from a Democratic primary upset, Boyle scandal, or extreme national Republican wave, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$17,890Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle's commanding trader consensus at 94.5% in Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District stems from the district's strong Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+19), where Kamala Harris won 67% in 2024, and Boyle's dominant 71.5% victory last cycle. With over $4.9 million cash-on-hand as of late March—dwarfing presumptive Republican nominee Jessica Arriaga's zero—Boyle faces no serious primary challengers ahead of the May 19 closed primary. This safe blue Philadelphia-area seat reflects historical incumbency advantages in high-turnout urban districts. Late shifts could arise from a Democratic primary upset, Boyle scandal, or extreme national Republican wave, though structural barriers remain high.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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