South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Republican Party an 80.5% implied probability of victory. Incumbent Joe Wilson secured the GOP nomination in the June 9 primary, clearing the field against limited challengers and reinforcing continuity in a district that has not elected a Democrat in decades. On the Democratic side, a June 23 runoff between Zyon Khalifa and David Robinson II will determine the nominee, yet the party's 16.5% odds reflect persistent structural disadvantages in voter registration and past election margins. Other outcomes, including labeled candidates A and B at roughly 50%, capture residual uncertainty over general-election dynamics and potential third-party or write-in factors before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSC-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
SC-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$31,735 Vol.
$31,735 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
81%
Partido Demócrata
17%
$31,735 Vol.
$31,735 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$10,474 Vol.
81%
Partido Demócrata
$21,261 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Republican Party an 80.5% implied probability of victory. Incumbent Joe Wilson secured the GOP nomination in the June 9 primary, clearing the field against limited challengers and reinforcing continuity in a district that has not elected a Democrat in decades. On the Democratic side, a June 23 runoff between Zyon Khalifa and David Robinson II will determine the nominee, yet the party's 16.5% odds reflect persistent structural disadvantages in voter registration and past election margins. Other outcomes, including labeled candidates A and B at roughly 50%, capture residual uncertainty over general-election dynamics and potential third-party or write-in factors before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$31,735Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Republican Party an 80.5% implied probability of victory. Incumbent Joe Wilson secured the GOP nomination in the June 9 primary, clearing the field against limited challengers and reinforcing continuity in a district that has not elected a Democrat in decades. On the Democratic side, a June 23 runoff between Zyon Khalifa and David Robinson II will determine the nominee, yet the party's 16.5% odds reflect persistent structural disadvantages in voter registration and past election margins. Other outcomes, including labeled candidates A and B at roughly 50%, capture residual uncertainty over general-election dynamics and potential third-party or write-in factors before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$31,735Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Republican Party an 80.5% implied probability of victory. Incumbent Joe Wilson secured the GOP nomination in the June 9 primary, clearing the field against limited challengers and reinforcing continuity in a district that has not elected a Democrat in decades. On the Democratic side, a June 23 runoff between Zyon Khalifa and David Robinson II will determine the nominee, yet the party's 16.5% odds reflect persistent structural disadvantages in voter registration and past election margins. Other outcomes, including labeled candidates A and B at roughly 50%, capture residual uncertainty over general-election dynamics and potential third-party or write-in factors before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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