Trader consensus prices Republican Party victory at 82% implied probability in the SC-02 House race, anchored by incumbent Rep. Joe Wilson's long tenure since 2001, double-digit general election margins like 59.5% in 2024, and the district's R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index where Trump carried it by 14 points last year. Wilson's fundraising dominance—$294,000 cash on hand as of late March—far outpaces primary challengers Hamp Redmond and Sam Gibbons ahead of the June 9 GOP primary. Democrats hold 18% amid a fragmented primary field including 2024 nominee David Robinson II, Zyon Khalifa, Roger Pruitt, and Daniel Shrief; closely priced Other (50.5%), B (50.0%), and A (49.5%) outcomes reflect uncertainty in nominee emergence, with no recent polling or major catalysts shifting dynamics post-filing deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSC-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
SC-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$26,993 Vol.
$26,993 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
82%
Partido Demócrata
18%
$26,993 Vol.
$26,993 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$9,609 Vol.
82%
Partido Demócrata
$17,384 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Republican Party victory at 82% implied probability in the SC-02 House race, anchored by incumbent Rep. Joe Wilson's long tenure since 2001, double-digit general election margins like 59.5% in 2024, and the district's R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index where Trump carried it by 14 points last year. Wilson's fundraising dominance—$294,000 cash on hand as of late March—far outpaces primary challengers Hamp Redmond and Sam Gibbons ahead of the June 9 GOP primary. Democrats hold 18% amid a fragmented primary field including 2024 nominee David Robinson II, Zyon Khalifa, Roger Pruitt, and Daniel Shrief; closely priced Other (50.5%), B (50.0%), and A (49.5%) outcomes reflect uncertainty in nominee emergence, with no recent polling or major catalysts shifting dynamics post-filing deadline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$26,993Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Republican Party victory at 82% implied probability in the SC-02 House race, anchored by incumbent Rep. Joe Wilson's long tenure since 2001, double-digit general election margins like 59.5% in 2024, and the district's R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index where Trump carried it by 14 points last year. Wilson's fundraising dominance—$294,000 cash on hand as of late March—far outpaces primary challengers Hamp Redmond and Sam Gibbons ahead of the June 9 GOP primary. Democrats hold 18% amid a fragmented primary field including 2024 nominee David Robinson II, Zyon Khalifa, Roger Pruitt, and Daniel Shrief; closely priced Other (50.5%), B (50.0%), and A (49.5%) outcomes reflect uncertainty in nominee emergence, with no recent polling or major catalysts shifting dynamics post-filing deadline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$26,993Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Republican Party victory at 82% implied probability in the SC-02 House race, anchored by incumbent Rep. Joe Wilson's long tenure since 2001, double-digit general election margins like 59.5% in 2024, and the district's R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index where Trump carried it by 14 points last year. Wilson's fundraising dominance—$294,000 cash on hand as of late March—far outpaces primary challengers Hamp Redmond and Sam Gibbons ahead of the June 9 GOP primary. Democrats hold 18% amid a fragmented primary field including 2024 nominee David Robinson II, Zyon Khalifa, Roger Pruitt, and Daniel Shrief; closely priced Other (50.5%), B (50.0%), and A (49.5%) outcomes reflect uncertainty in nominee emergence, with no recent polling or major catalysts shifting dynamics post-filing deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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