Despite repeated calls from House Republicans like Reps. Andy Ogles and Randy Fine for the Department of Justice to investigate Zohran Mamdani's 2018 naturalization—alleging omissions on his N-400 form regarding past associations—trader consensus prices "No" revocation before 2027 at 90.5%, reflecting the high legal threshold for denaturalization, which demands clear proof of fraud in a rare civil proceeding. No formal DOJ inquiry or charges have emerged since the letters in late 2025, even amid Mamdani's landslide New York City mayoral victory and inauguration as the first Muslim mayor. Fact-checkers found no credible evidence of material lies, and historical precedents show such actions seldom succeed absent strong substantiation, with no developments in the past six months altering this stance. Late-breaking scandals or agency shifts could theoretically shift odds, but none have materialized.